| Welcome to May folks. May Day is something of a mixed holiday for conservatives, as it's both Law Day and International Workers' Day. Presidential politics: Obama: The President's team is certainly making it clear it will be politicizing the successful raid that led to Osama bin Laden's death last year. I don't fault them for being good at politics, though I do think this gives an opening for Republicans to show that Obama is deliberately playing politics with the bin Laden killing. Recall that Obama explicitly denounced politicizing the killing. Romney: Romney was smart to respond that "even Jimmy Carter" would have given the order to kill bin Laden. That's a pitch perfect response that 1. brings up Jimmy Carter; 2. answers the criticism in the broadest possible terms, i.e. of course I'd have people kill bin Laden; and 3. forces Obama to either double-down or drop the line of attack by explaining what they mean in their anti-Romney attack in more nuanced terms. Forward: The Obama campaign obviously can't use "change" as its moniker for 2012, so they're adopting "forward" as the new slogan. Remember "winning the future"? That was also a nice slogan before they realized Speaker Gingrich had written a book with a similar title. And why the homage to MSNBC's "lean forward' campaign? Paul: The Paul campaign continues to do well in the delegate machinations that are appearing to increase its delegate count and embarrass the would-be Romney delegates. Massachusetts, Louisiana, and Alaska are the latest successful targets. (disclosure -- I am working for the Romney campaign). Libertarians: The LP ticket appears to be almost set, with a Johnson/Gray ticket appearing likely. Gray says they have "a 1.5%" chance of winning. While that's not actually true, give him credit not boasting that they have a good shot of winning. True Vote: Wall Street Journal author John Fund is taking the helm of the voter ID battle, having written a book called Stealing Elections. I saw fund speak in San Francisco last month, and he was still very happy about the James O'Keefe/Eric Holder hidden video cam from Washington DC. Veepstakes: Christie: The New Jersey Governor says Romney might convince him to join the ticket, since Romney's a "convincing guy." I think Christie is a great Governor, but won't change the dynamic of the race much, and would actually hurt his standing in New Jersey by joining the national ticket. Ayotte: My number 4 pick for VP is getting more buzz after a rally with Governor Romney. Even those of you don't think it will be Ayotte probably put her as either the first or second most likely female VP pick. Palin: Not that Governor Palin is in the mix for Romney's VP, but Bristol Palin went out of her way to defend her mother, saying McCain didn't make a mistake by picking Palin in 2008. Maybe not, but I'm still upset he didn't pick Chuck Norris to consolidate the Huckabee vote. Senate: VA-Sen: The Kaine-Allen race is starting to heat up, and Kaine is after Mark Warner's heart. Warner is the popular former Governor-turned-Senator and viewed as a moderate figure in the state. The GOP needs to do its best to divide Warner's image from Kaine's. FL-Sen: A pro-Mack SuperPAC is airing an ad featuring Connie Mack's Dad, as well as a hit against Bill Nelson on the keystone pipeline and his pro-Obama tendencies. George LeMieux has alleged that Mack is trying to confuse voters by making them think he's his father, Connie Mack III. The SuperPAC ad certainly won't defuse that allegation. MA-Sen: Elizabeth Warren is on the defensive for having mentioned in a legal reference book that she had American Indian ancestry. Apparently her "family lore" includes tales of her American Indian heritage. Warren says she's proud of her heritage, which I suppose is pretty unclear at this point. The degree to which she participated in an ongoing sham by the various law schools where she taught is still hard to decipher. Did she know she was being touted as a minority law professor at any of the schools where she taught? Governor's Races: WI-Gov: I'm linking to this article because I like seeing "Scott Walker makes it rain" at the Huffington Post. Walker raised $13 million last quarter, of which he still has almost $5 million on hand, dwarfing his Democratic opponents. I'd love to see Walker spend money doing positive ads about how he's improving Wisconsin. He now has the money to do it. WA-Gov: Jay Inslee knows he needs to attach his star to Obama and Cantwell for his race against Rob McKenna. But his latest help comes from Debbie Wasserman Schultz, and a few Obama campaign staffers. The article describes Schultz as "brassy," which is a nice attempt at being diplomatic and also getting across a subtle point. NC-Gov: Walter Dalton is looking good to win the Democratic primary in North Carolina, and the right to lose to future Governor Pat McCrory (R). Dalton isn't quite to 40% in PPP's latest poll, but he's close enough that he'll probably get there. House: WI-8: Reid Ribble is looking for summer interns. Send a resume, writing sample, and references to derek.ellerman@mail.house.gov AL-6: Congrats to Spencer Bachus, who was cleared on ethics charges by the Office of Congressional Ethics. Well I guess that was a long strange trip for nothing. CA-30: Two of my favorite actresses, Betty White and Wendy Malick, have cut an ad for Howard Berman. This race is over folks. :) |