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Evening Political Roundup for December 11, 2012

by: shamlet

Tue Dec 11, 2012 at 16:00:00 PM EST


Congress:

SC-Sen (Class III): Haley's apparent shortlist for the DeMint seat consists of Reps. Tim Scott and Trey Gowdy, former AG Henry McMaster, Jenny Sanford, and Health Secretary Catherine Templeton. Interestingly, this is the first we're hearing from inside sources of Sanford as being vetted, though she's been the subject of much outside speculation. If you're placing bets, Scott is still considered the odds-on favorite.

HI-Sen 2016: 88-year-old Sen. Dan Inouye (D) has been hospitalized with a lung ailment. The condition does not seem to be particularly serious; best wishes to him for a speedy recovery.

NJ-Sen: All eyes are on 88-year old Frank Lautenberg to see whether he will retire or not. With Cory Booker in a position to demolish the incumbent in a primary, it might not even matter - but Republicans should be rooting for Lautenberg to once again be the D standard bearer. The incumbent is beatable; Booker decidedly isn't.

GA-6: Rep. Tom Price (R) ruled out a Boehner challenge for the speakership; it's unclear what this might say (if anything) about potential plans to challenge Chambliss for his Senate seat.

WATN: Wes Cooley, who Repped OR-2 as a Republican from 1995-97 and left after it was discovered he falisfied military records, is headed to jail on tax evasion charges.

States:

NJ-Gov: State Sen. Barbara Buono (D-Metuchen) has entered the Governor's race, likely setting up (after Booker finally stops dragging his feet and announces he isn't running) one half of a bloody primary between the white-collar, anti-machine, North Jersey Democrat and blue collar, machine-oriented, South Jersey Senate President Steve Sweeney (D-West Deptford). At this point neither looks like the favorite in that matchup; the winner gets the honor of losing to Christie. (Also, for future reference - her name is pronounced "Bono", like Sonny.)

VA-Gov: After suspending his Republican campaign, LG Bill Bolling continues to not foreclose the possibility of an indie run against Cuccinelli and McAullife.

SC-Gov: PPP(D): Sheheen (D) 46 Haley(R-i) 44. Haley and Sen. Lindsey Graham both lead in their primaries. 

Miscellaneous: Brooklyn Democratic Boss Frank Seddio loves extravagantly decorating his Canarsie house for Christmas. I suppose it's a better hobby than the extracurricular interests of the last several Brooklyn Democratic chairs, which usually revolve around graft and harassment.

shamlet :: Evening Political Roundup for December 11, 2012
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Question for Michigan folks
Does the past week help Snyder with the GOP base, or is he still persona non grata?

No Michigan
But it helps him a ton. A ton.
The more unions attack him, the bigger shahid he becomes.

25, Male, R, NY-10

[ Parent ]
Definitely helps
Provided that he signs the bills as written without line-item vetoing anything important, I think all former GOP skepticism of him will immediately evaporate. Right to Work has been a pipe dream for the state GOP for decades, and now it's here.

That said, I don't know how much REAL opposition there was to him in the GOP to begin with. I think that those who were unhappy with him were certainly vocal, but a small minority in the party. More interesting will be what happens with independents--who wins this fight in the eyes of the public? Democrats will be more fired up than ever, sure, but I think independents ultimately side with the GOP, as they did in Wisconsin and NJ.


[ Parent ]
It helps a lot
Before this, there was at least a chance of a serious primary challenge.  Now, there is no chance.

MI-6: Fed up with Fred Upton

[ Parent ]
MI
Rick Snyder (@onetoughnerd) tweeted at 5:47 PM on Tue, Dec 11, 2012:
"I have signed the freedom to work bills into law." - Gov Rick Snyder
(https://twitter.com/onetoughnerd/status/278632067359703041)

25, Male, R, NY-10

the party of personal freedom
I'm listening to Salem Radio and they, a conservative broadcaster, call it "anti-union" and that it "prohibits unions from automatically deducting dues."

This isn't anti-union legislation. It's employee freedom legislation. No one is prohibited or penalized for joining a union. The legislation doesn't hurt unions. The people who choose not to be represented by the union do. It's been depicted as "revenge on unions." I don't claim to know anyone's motivations, but it shouldn't be revenge. We're the party of personal freedom and that should be our motivation.

R, CA-37; hometown: PA-2


[ Parent ]
Weigel Tweet
daveweigel ‏@daveweigel
Didn't Rick Snyder learn anything from the devastating recall of former Wis. Gov Scott Walker? Wait...

R, CA-37; hometown: PA-2

[ Parent ]
lol
Did he learn anything from Chris Christie as well?  Oh wait...

28, Republican, PA-6

[ Parent ]
lol
Lets see if they do a good right to work question.  One of my biggest criticisms of right to work polling is how easily the wording can be manipulated.

28, Republican, PA-6

[ Parent ]
Every question can be manipulated
You can phrase almost any question such that you'll get the desired outcome.  

R, CA-37; hometown: PA-2

[ Parent ]
Quick,
I have a big technique test tomorrow for Piano, and basically if I don't pass, I'll have to leave piano.

So I'd appreciate thoughts and prayers for tomorrow if you guys don't mind!  

22, Conservative, NC-02 (SC-04 college) Matt 6:25-34    


Very Best of Luck
I have a lot of exams this week too so I know how you're feeling.  

21, Thatcherite,

[ Parent ]
Our thoughts are with you.
I have exams this week as well. Fitting Electoral politics into my schedule can get difficult at times. I imagine that you feel the same way. Good luck!

21, Male, Conservative Republican, TN-08 (home), VA-01 (college)

[ Parent ]
Michigan RTW
I'm so proud of my ancestral state. Go Rick Snyder! I'm so proud to have supported his candidacy since day one.

Now for some humor. Here's what my uncle had to say about RTW in Michigan via email.

I'm outraged that people in Michigan now have freedom of choice. It seems unDemocratic.


Forgot to mention...
my uncle was impersonating the dishonorable Pat Quinn.

[ Parent ]
MI recall?
Does Michigan have a recall option? I'd love to see the Dems flush a few more millions down the drain, a la Wisconsin.

R/MA-9; hometown CT-2; lonely MSM conservative.

Yes


25, Male, R, NY-10

[ Parent ]
I doubt they do it though
I'm betting the Democrats just focus on 2014 instead, since a recall right now makes little sense.

23, Libertarian Republican CA-18

Liberals dream things that never were and ask why not.  Conservatives shout back "Because it won't work"


[ Parent ]
If unions had political sense
they wouldn't have pushed proposal 2.

MI-6: Fed up with Fred Upton

[ Parent ]
MI recall is not like Wisconsin
IIRC, it's a YES or NO question. If the candidate is successfully recalled, a special election will be held to replace him/her. If Snyder is recalled, another Republican could run for governor in a special election, preferrably Bill Schuette, Ruth Johnson, Brian Calley, Mike Cox, or Terri Lynn Land.  

[ Parent ]
Cuomo at 74/13
Voters like the coalition. Gillibrand edges out Chucky for the more popular senator.
http://www.quinnipiac.edu/inst...

25, Male, R, NY-10

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