AK-Sen: Sen. Mark Begich (D) starts his re-election bid in a surprisingly strong spot, trailing only popular Gov. Sean Parnell (46-40), while leading Mead Treadwell (44-34) and Joe Miller (52-29). Parnell leads a hypothetical primary, with Miller taking only 12% (although Sarah Palin is listed as an option and takes 27%). In short, Parnell looks like a slam dunk, but a generic R like Treadwell would seem to have a path to victory.
GA-Sen: Rep. Tom Price raised $250K last week, a tea leaf suggesting he could enter this race soon. His $1.6M in the bank is significantly more than the other two Rep.'s who have expressed interest--Paul Broun ($156K) and Lynn Westmoreland ($425K), but is less than Phil Gingrey's $1.9M.
More GA-Sen: Rep. Jack Kingston of the southern 1st has been quiet, but his team has been making calls and now an ally tells the press that he's "98% sure" Kingston will run for Senate. The article quotes a Georgia political analyst who expects as many as 7 big-name Republicans in the primary.
IA-Sen: An early look at this race from Harper has Steve King starting as the favorite in the GOP primary, and Bruce Braley leading King but trailing Tom Latham (with no one breaking 40 in any matchup). Of course, a lot will depend on who actually runs.
MA-Sen: St. Rep. Dan Winslow (R), who holds Scott Brown's old seat, sounds like he's in. Winslow will announce his decision Tuesday, but his website refers to "details on a time and venue" that will be announced today. So unless he's holding an I'm-not-running rally...
More MA-Sen: Middlesex DA Gerry Leone (D), a fairly big name in the state's largest county, could jump in the Senate race, a surprising move after he announced last month he wouldn't seek another term as DA. Leone could consolidate the anti-DC vote...or give Steve Lynch an opening, as Leone's base overlaps with Ed Markey's.
NJ-Sen-A: Cory Booker hasn't been particularly gung-ho about gun control. While no friend of the NRA, Booker could conceivably be hurt by this issue in a primary against Frank Lautenberg or Frank Pallone. New Jersey's Democratic base is pretty anti-gun.
NJ-Sen-B: How was your weekend? Even if you're a 49ers fan, it was probably still better than Bob Menendez's. The questions about Menendez's relationship with Saloman Melgan and, er, relations with hookers continued to swirl, even as Harry Reid gave the Senator a weak vote of confidence.
CO-Gov: A look at this race finds Republicans very reluctant to take on popular Gov. John Hickenlooper (D). There was some hope in the state GOP that Hickenlooper would forgo re-election to focus on a 2016 presidential bid, but that now sounds very unlikely.
CT-Gov: The Republican leaders of the Senate and House, John McKinney and Lawrence Cafero, are both considering bids, with McKinney sounding particularly likely to get in. Tom Foley, who came close to Gov. Dan Malloy in 2010, is widely expected to run again.
IA-Gov: It's tough when you can't even come up with a reason why the incumbent governor should be booted, but that's the problem Iowa Dems are facing with Terry Branstad, who is modestly popular if not beloved. St. Sen. Jack Hatch is talking about running against Branstad on his refusal to embrace Obamacare. Good luck.
NE-Gov: Two new names linked to this race since our write-up on Saturday: Rep. Lee Terry (R), and St. Sen. Annette Dubas (D). Regarding Dubas, the thinking is: "Deb Fischer won as a stalwart conservative woman, so she could win as a stalwart liberal woman." No, I'm not kidding. (EDIT: Apparently the linked article is poorly researched. h/t GoBigRedState.)
SC-Gov, Sen: Tom Davis (R) will seek re-election to the State Senate, removing the last remaining in-party obstacle from the paths of Nikki Haley, Lindsey Graham, and Tim Scott.
VA-Gov: Bill Bolling is officially on-record as considering an independent bid. If he can make himself viable, it would be quite the political feat--past notable indies (Lincoln Chafee and Charlie Crist) started their races as the biggest name in the field, which Bolling is not.
CA-17: A big-money battle could be looming between Rep. Mike Honda and Obama staffer Ro Khanna. Honda has already rolled out endorsements from Obama and Nancy Pelosi, but Khanna isn't one to shy away from a tough race--he challenged popular Rep. Tom Lantos in a primary back in 2004.
CO-06: Andrew Romanoff (D), best known for coming within 8 points of Michael Bennet in the 2010 Senate primary, will run against Mike Coffman. This is one of only a handful of D+ districts under GOP control.
NY-11: NYC Councilor Domenic Recchia is thinking about a bid against Rep. Mike Grimm (R). Recchia is from Brooklyn, and is thus a tough sell in this Staten Island-based seat. Ex-Rep. Mike McMahon is also considering.
MO-LG: An excellent rundown of who could replace Peter Kinder (R) in this office if the incumbent gets the MO-08 nomination next weekend.
Crossroads: Why didn't donors think of this after 2010? Crossroads is launching the "Conservative Victory Fund," which is designed to strangle Akins, Angles, and O'Donnells in the crib (aka the early stages of a primary). Naturally, the groups that promote these candidates are upset.