Huntsman: He endorsed SSM, from a conservative standpoint. Not sure if this means he is more or less likely to run in 2016.
Thune: Sen. John Thune told a class of second graders that he enjoys his job and does not plan to run for President, calling it "a very, very hard job." Probably a smart move by Thune. McConnell and Cornyn are old enough that Thune could very well be Senate Majority/Minority Leader within the next decade.
New Jersey-B: Sen. Bob Menendez's approval ratings are way down after a month of allegations against him. According to Quinnipiac, he is down 15 points since Jan 23, to a 36-41 approval.
Nevada: Majority Leader Harry Reid, in response to a reporter's question about running again in 2016, replied "Sure, why not?" He has insisted for months he will run again, but, at 76 by the time he'd take the oath and facing a potentially tough challenge from Gov. Brian Sandoval, it's difficult to see him actually going through with it.
Georgia: Ugh. 70 year old, Todd Akin defending Rep. Phil Gingrey has supposedly emailed Republicans in Georgia to say he is running for Senate and associates say he is "100% in", just waiting to hire a campaign manager. He has also supposedly announced his run in a conference call, and is possibly planning a public announcement next week.
South Carolina: Sen. Lindsey Graham is looking better and better for the Republican primary in 2014, according to a new Winthrop University Poll. Graham has a 72% approval rating among Republicans.
South Dakota: More speculation that Sen. Tim Johnson will retire and Democrats will look to his son, US Attorney Brendan Johnson, to replace him. He has been appearing on TV more to raise his profile.
Wyoming: Sen. Mike Enzi says he won't announce his 2014 plans until March of 2014. With Wyoming's filing deadline in May, that won't give a relatively unknown (on a personal level) candidate...say Liz Cheney...time to ramp up a campaign against a popular and well-known Congresswoman Cynthia Lummis. Look for Cheney to go for Lummis' House seat if this scenario plays out.
Kentucky: Democrats appear to be coalescing around Ashley Judd (lol) as their candidate, with Gov. Steve Beshear, their first choice, calling her "a very serious candidate". Judd has been meeting with Kentucky Democrats, the DSCC, and Sens. Kirsten Gillibrand and Claire McCaskill to discuss her candidacy.
Louisiana: Roll Call has a piece out detailing the potential "primary" for LA Republicans. According to them, Cassidy's "hesitation" on a bid has led to Chas Roemer, Fleming, and Landry to think about a bid more. All of these people have been considering bids for over a year. It is not even March. Cassidy has not "hesitated". He hasn't had a good opportunity to announce. After the election, he was busy actually doing his job and then it was the holidays. After the holidays nationally, it was Mardi Gras time here and Cassidy was in charge of DC Mardi Gras. If he had announced his candidacy during Mardi Gras season, it would have been political malpractice. So, don't worry guys, there is no hesitation on his part. Just putting things into place.
NRSC, DSCC: Rob Portman and Jerry Moran really need to step it up. The DSCC raised $4.2 million in January to a pitiful $1.5 million for the NRSC.
SC-01: Reps. Jeff Duncan and Mick Mulvaney have endorsed state Sen. Larry Grooms in the race to succeed Tim Scott. Rep. Trey Gowdy is rumored to follow soon. Looks like the Congressional delegation is coalescing around the strongest candidate to spare them from the embarrassment of a Rep. Mark Sanford.
MN-06: After yet another closer than expected victory last November, Rep. Michele Bachmann is taking an odd step for her: she's keeping her mouth shut. Since the election, Bachmann has been quiet and working her district, even complimenting President Obama in an op-ed. Is she trying to hold on to her district, or even aiming higher?
UT-04: Mia Love is addressing CPAC next month. Could she use the gig to announce another Congressional run?
State & Local
SC-Gov: Gov. Nikki Haley's approval looks to be on the rebound according to the same poll that also showed Graham gaining. Haley's approval is up to 44%, up 5 from December. Among Republicans, she's up to a 67/16 approval rating.