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Evening Political Roundup for March 30, 2012

by: Ryan_in_SEPA

Fri Mar 30, 2012 at 18:00:00 PM EDT


Gallup:  Mitt Romney has reached an all time high of 42 percent in Gallup's daily tracking poll.  Romney sits at 42 percent, up three, while Santorum is down to 27 percent and Newt flirting with 11 percent.  With Romney's three point jump, he now has a 5 point lead on Santorum and Gingrich combined nationally.

Senate-National Journal: The National Journal has its monthly Senate rankings out on the seats most likely to flip.  Based off their numbers, the Republican odds of taking the Senate seem pretty realistic at this point.  They rank Nebraska, North Dakota, and Maine as the states most likely to flip.  Ranking Maine is not easy as its not clear what Independent Angus King will do.

Doheny: Matt Doheny thought he could deny the first set of bad pictures away, but now we got video of him being a naughty boy.  One must ask why New York politicians cannot behave themselves. 

PA-Legislature: Next week there will be debate and a likely vote on a constitutional amendment to cut the Pennsylvania House of Representatives by 50 seats.  This is the first vote needed in the process to amend the State Constitution.  It must also pass the Senate this year then be passed by both chambers again next session for it to appear on the ballot.  The bill appears to have broad bipartisan support.

Ryan_in_SEPA :: Evening Political Roundup for March 30, 2012
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So how many seats would be left in the PA house?
PA is on my personal list of states whose lower body is too big along with my home state of MO, but NH is top of my list.

42 Male Republican, Maryland Heights, MO (MO-2). Previously lived in both Memphis and Nashville.

Nikki Haley story not valid?
Paranoia
I've always felt that "Crazy Jim" Clyburn was paranoid, but maybe I'm just not that familiar with South Carolina politics.

R, CA-37; hometown: PA-2

[ Parent ]
I didn't see a kiss in the Doheny video
Did anyone else? Definitely flirtatious behavior but not strictly cheating. The fiance should be a little upset though.

34, R, CO-1 (Degette)

Yeah- I wouldn't like it if I were her
but its not exactly newsworthy footage. Attention doesn't help though.

SC1-Charleston

[ Parent ]
This is the weakest sh!t I've ever seen
I mean really? Have the producers of TMZ taken over Washington? There is NOTHING on that tape other than a bunch of people who seem to have had a couple of drinks leaving an event. There is NOTHING sexual or inappropriate on that tape. And really who care? The guy is NOT MARRIED!!!! This is really nothing more than slander. Speak about the politics of personal destruction. Apparently a single non-married politician leaving a public event where people had a few drinks is now a scandal. Give me a freak'n break!

[ Parent ]
Doheny is running in the Adirondacks
What looks lame to someone in NYC can be a narrative in the North Country, of someone who is unfaithful to his fiance, who parties like a frat boy in big cities, who boats while drunk, who isn't a kindly grandfather (like Bill Owens), etc.

Some of my best friends call me a "Demoncrat"

[ Parent ]
Haley
Two days ago people were throwing Nikki Haley under the bus. How about we wait to see if this is anything before doing the same? That said, there should be more than one alternative in the primary, since the filing deadline is soon.

R, CA-37; hometown: PA-2

[ Parent ]
Big Difference
One is on tape, one had no factual evidence.

We can debate about the ethics of engaged men flirting and being that close and touchy with other women, but regardless we know it happened.

33/M/D/NY-01 DKE:Socks The Cat


[ Parent ]
Yea, I'm SURE you would be up in arms . .
if an actual married man like, say, President Clinton engaged in such conduct, let alone has sex with an intern (along with more than a dozen other women) and stuffed a cigar up her butt.  

But when Dems are involved, its a matter between husband and wife, right?  

When its the GOP, anything is fair gain, right?    


[ Parent ]
for the record, I'd have kicked Clinton out of office
don't assume what other people would and wouldn't do.

Age 21, CA-18 (home), CA-13 (college)
politicohen.com.
Idiosyncratic, pro-establishment. Liberal but not progressive.  For the poor, the children, the planet, and the rule of law.

Berkeley Class of 2015.


[ Parent ]
If it were just the infidelity
it might be considered a youthful "bachelor party" type indiscretion.

I did cite other things that fit into the theme -- besides the frat boy-type big city partying as shown in the pics, there's also the two boating while intoxicated convictions, ref http://adirondackdailyenterpri...

When put together, I think it should make Owens' campaign easier, if Doheny is the R nominee.

Some of my best friends call me a "Demoncrat"


[ Parent ]
Nice Strawman
Too bad you can never find me saying anything of the sort that you just posted.

Oh and he didn't stick the cigar up her butt, good sir.

33/M/D/NY-01 DKE:Socks The Cat


[ Parent ]
But there is nothing on the video!!!!
That's the crazy part. There is nothing on that video that is scandalous. All you see is a bunch of people who had a few drinks leaving a bar. NO SEXUAL contact. NO inappropriate behavior. Its insane. They basically took a bunch of pictures and concocted a made up story around it. This whole story is really a new low. They are basically slandering this guy over nothing. This whole story is a disgrace on the media outlets who are covering it.

[ Parent ]
I'm not judging
I personally don't care what people do in their own lives (Unless its a direct contradiction of what they preach in politics).

I also doubt it will hurt him much.

33/M/D/NY-01 DKE:Socks The Cat


[ Parent ]
Actually I think it will hurt him a lot
Most people dont know who he is and his introduction to the people of his district is being done through the lens of this bogus hit job story. Thats why this is politics of personal destruction and a pretty good frame job.

[ Parent ]
He did run in 2010
so it's not as if he has zero name rec. But yeah, he really needs to do some solid damage control.

R - MD-7

[ Parent ]
While the substance of this is lacking
it does create a negative impression that will raise the hurdle he faces in defeating Owens. He can overcome it, but a victory becomes more difficult I think.

SC1-Charleston

[ Parent ]
Tom Barrett running for Wisconsin Governor
n/t

Walker/Martinez 2016

Write In Walker
We'll know in the next two weeks whether the WIGOP is going to make an effort here. With Barrett joining Falk and Vinehout, it's certainly possible if time and money is invested.

[ Parent ]
Any chance
Falk or Vinehout drop out?

33/M/D/NY-01 DKE:Socks The Cat

[ Parent ]
Falk
I don't know, but I just LOLed about Falk dropping out. She seems to be to be the most eager to face off Walker.  

[ Parent ]
Maybe Vinehout
But Falk has picked up too many endorsements (EMILY's List, ASFCME, etc.) and is likely raising a ton of cash. I doubt she would drop out at this point.

[ Parent ]
Keith Olbermann fired again
Josh Kraushaar ‏ @HotlineJosh
ESPN, CNN, MSNBC (2x), FOX (Sports), Current. Where hasn't Olbermann gotten fired from?

Keith Olbermann's full statement in response to the termination of his contract by Current TV
http://www.politico.com/blogs/...



R, CA-37; hometown: PA-2


Spitzer is replacing him.
Good, I like Spitzer.

(-10.00, -3.49), libertarian socialist, "When smashing monuments, save the pedestals. They always come in handy."



-- Stanisław Lem


[ Parent ]
Yea, maybe Spitzer can opine on Doheny . . .
and whether his actions constitute adultery or not.  

He's an expert.  


[ Parent ]
CBS Sports Net?


42 Male Republican, Maryland Heights, MO (MO-2). Previously lived in both Memphis and Nashville.

[ Parent ]
Topeka Map Rejected by Kansas Senate
Kansas gets the award for
the biggest fail of redistricting this cycle. It's amazing that a state with only 4 districts to draw and a process completely controlled by one party can't get it done. Everybody seems to want something perfect, and it isn't there.

42, R, NE-1.

[ Parent ]
Yep, This Is Heading To The Courts
Pathetic to see that they couldn't even come up with a budget. The liberal Republicans in Kansas are starting to become a real problem...  

[ Parent ]
and it will apprently take the KS Senate map to court along with it
Since the KS house now says its not going to approve the KS senate map until they come to an agreement on the congressional seats.

I think what your looking at if it goes to KS Supreme Court map is:

Congressional: A least change map, retaining those features in #1 & #2 that keep both of them in the playing field.

Senate: Here the KS Supreme Court might just decide to adopt the Senate passed Senate map as is. They could cite long history in Kansas of both chambers normally pass each others map with no changes if they wish to wash their hands of this really quickly.


42 Male Republican, Maryland Heights, MO (MO-2). Previously lived in both Memphis and Nashville.


[ Parent ]
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