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Q2 Fundraising


Evening Political Roundup For April 4, 2012

by: SCRep

Wed Apr 04, 2012 at 17:00:00 PM EDT


California: A SurveyUSA poll of the California Senate race shows Sen. Dianne Feinstein at 51% and her next closest challenger at 2 (two) percent. 2 challengers are at 2%, 12 challengers are at 1%, and 9 challengers are at 0%. In short, a close race to get in the top 2 between 23 challengers, with no chance of winning.

New Mexico: A Rasmussen poll of the New Mexico Senate race finds Democratic Rep. Martin Heinrich picking up 46% of the vote against Republican Heather Wilson who draws 42%. Seven percent prefer some other candidate in the race, while six percent are undecided.

NY-4: Local Republicans say they expect longtime Nassau County Legislator Fran Becker to challenge Rep. Carolyn McCarthy for the 4th Congressional District seat in November. Becker challenged McCarthy in 2010, losing 53.6 percent 46.4 percent. The district grew more Republican in the New York remap, going from 58% to 55% for President Obama.

PA-4: Sen. Pat Toomey is coming to the aid of York County Commissioner Chris Reilly in the open PA-4 race. His PAC is airing a television ad featuring Toomey speaking directly to the camera in which he endorses Reilly. Meanwhile, Governor Tom Corbett is attending a fundraiser for state Rep. Scott Perry, another candidate in the 4th. Perry also has picked up the support of a number of his colleagues. It's the first time Toomey and Corbett have publicly opposing candidates in a GOP primary.

WA-1: The campaign of John Koster, a Snohomish County Councilman, is out with a internal poll showing his as the "clear frontrunner" for the open 1st District. Koster polls 37%, followed by Democrat Darcy Burner at 11%, with 39% undecided. Washington has a top two primary system, and Koster is the only Republican running, which may explain his large lead.

SCRep :: Evening Political Roundup For April 4, 2012
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NY-04
With Fran Becker in, I'm more optimistic than I would be with generic R. However, this is Nassau County and it's a seat that's around 30% minority. Those minorities don't turn out at high numbers in midterms but they will probably turn out for Obama. That's why this race is going to be harder this time for Becker. He should have waited until a 2014 Obama midterm (assuming Obama wins)... Nevertheless, hopefully this forces Dems to spend money in an expensive NY media market. This race leans D to start with and it'll be hard to get to a toss up level, but this is a great recruit. We need to get a good recruit in Israel's seat. Paging "Rich Manhasset Dude"...

From IL-09, Living in PA-07.

A lot of those voters
will be voting for a Republican for state senate and possibly for local offices....so there will be some openness to voting Republican on the congressional level in my opinion.  I guess we will see.  All else equal, I think that McCarthy is the weakest incumbent of the D's on LI....she has just been lucky to have a pretty Democratic district.  

The Times did an analysis of state senate results vs other NY results.

http://www.nytimes.com/interac...

36, Republican, NJ-11  


[ Parent ]
No
He needs to be the presumptive nominee in 2014, which means he needs to run this year. This is a good thing.

21, Male, Conservative Republican, TN-08 (home), VA-01 (college)

[ Parent ]
No
Two time loser is not a good thing to run on.

From IL-09, Living in PA-07.

[ Parent ]
Conditions change.
Also, multiple congressmen have lost multiple times over the years until the situation improved, then they won. It's not like Bevker is being blown out, which would cause me to be more sympathetic to your position.

21, Male, Conservative Republican, TN-08 (home), VA-01 (college)

[ Parent ]
*Becker


21, Male, Conservative Republican, TN-08 (home), VA-01 (college)

[ Parent ]
Koster has a clear
path and lots of time to win over voters.  

Has to be a plus.  


Yeah, That WA-01 News Is All Good...
...assuming that internal is on the level.

Koster really need to get between 40-45% (at least) in the 'jungle' to really set himself up with a shot in the general/runoff, though.  


[ Parent ]
CA-Senate
The Survey USA poll blows me away. Set aside that it's 51% Democratic 33% Republican 10% DTS 6% ??(Bigfoot?)This poll has Dianne Feinstein winning the "Republican primary" by a huge margin.

While I don't question Feinstein has some crossover appeal I can't see her 45% of the Tea Party vote, 48% of the Evangelical vote and 36% of the Pro-Life vote.

Some Republican is going to win those voters. Clearly, who will is anybody's guess.

California is an exceptionally hard state to get known in. We have four top 30 TV markets and these candidates can't afford to go in small markets.

I see two strategies here. One is for a candidate to target a certain part of the state and hope those voters can make the difference. The good news, at least, is that Republican areas are less expensive. The second strategy is to only buy conservative talk radio, starting with LA stations.  

R, CA-37; hometown: PA-2


The crosstabs on the Obama/Romney poll were weird too
But I don't usually like to call out crosstabs.  Conservatives were overwhelmingly for Obama.

[ Parent ]
I know what you're saying
Everywhere I go out here, all I meet are conservatives for Obama. They just love him. [end sarcasm] There's no difference between conservatives here and anywhere else. If anything we're more steadfast because all we hear is liberal arguments all day.

R, CA-37; hometown: PA-2

[ Parent ]
Wisconsin turnout up 95%
785,163 yesterday
402,699 in 2008

50, Male, Conservative Republican, NJ-09, originally NY-18
Tell the "Food Stamps" President: self-reliance is a good thing!


The only other state
That had a bigger surge is MS which is trending R and was moved up from one of the last states to quite early, unlike WI.
This is definitely good news for WI Rs.  

26, Male, R, NY-10

[ Parent ]
mostly due to
08 race was regarded as effectively over by the time Wisconsin voted.

This time, Santorum was competing hard, which drove up turn out (both among his supporters & Romney supporters)

42 Male Republican, Maryland Heights, MO (MO-2). Previously lived in both Memphis and Nashville.


[ Parent ]
In 2008, the Wisconsin D & R Primaries took place on the same day...
2/19/2008.

Most of the action/excitement was on the Obama/Hillary side which garnered 1,113,000+ votes while the Republican side got on 402,000+

Since this time around there was only the GOP to get excited about, turnout had to exceed the 2008 levels.


[ Parent ]
I'm for Reilly.
I didn't much care for Perry anyway, and Toomey endorsing Reilly is the gold standard IMO.
Disclosure: I volunteered for one of Perry's opponents in his 2006 state house run when Bruce Smith retired. A friend I talked to who's plugged in with conservative Republican politics in Central PA was very down on Perry. He ended up supporting someone else in the primary, but basically felt Perry was a crook. It'll be interesting to see who wins here though. The York machine is king--even more so now that PA-04 is so York-centric--and I think both candidates have some ties to it.
Incidentally, if all you care about is voting record, either guy should be a bit to the right of Platts, who was definitely center-right but sort of moderate on union stuff.  

male, social, fiscal and foreign policy center-right Republican, in but not of academia, VA-08.

Reilly as well
I just get the wrong kind of vibes from Reilly.  

Corbett has been involved in literally every primary since he was elected Governor and his endorsements are all over the place.  Perry would seem like the conservative firebrand here.  Reilly is a conservative, but probably a lot more mellow about it.

Toomey's endorsement are a lot more cautious, but all over the map as well.  He usually supports people who put their neck on the line for him before.  Reilly supported him a lot in the past, but I also suspect he likes Reilly's style more than Perry's.  Reilly is a lot more subdue and wonkish while Perry is more of activist type.

28, Republican, PA-6


[ Parent ]
You Mean Perry...
...in sentence #1, right?  

[ Parent ]
Yes
I saw a news story that confused the two their names are so similar.

28, Republican, PA-6

[ Parent ]
I'm for Perry
Why? First of all, I'm a big believer in experience and politicians climbing up the ladder. In this case, Perry is going from the Pennsylvania House of Rep. to the U.S. House of Rep. Also, state legislators actually vote on bills, which means we know where they stand on the issues.

Reilly was a County Commissioner. Local government is pretty complicated in the United States. It's a lot more difficult to be an ideologue at the local level than at the state or federal level.

I trust a State Representative more than a County Commissioner.

Male, PA-15, Libertarian leaning-Republican


[ Parent ]
NE-Sen
Another politician improperly using Twitter? http://www.politico.com/news/s...

R - MD-7

Sounds like the communications director
Did it, not Stenburg. The comm director dodges the question by saying Bruning wants to talk about anything other than his support of Eric Holder. I don't get it, but I'm sure there's a backstory involving Holder I missed.

Still foolish to try to interact with a 14-year old girl on the Internet.  

34, R, CO-1 (Degette)


[ Parent ]
Holder
Bruning signed a document from a group of state attorneys general supporting Holder's nomination. Of course it looks bad now, but there were a number of conservatives who supported his nomination and thought based on his record as US Attorney that he was a good choice.  

42, R, NE-1.

[ Parent ]
IL-13: Johnson retiring/dropping out?
http://capitolfax.com/2012/04/...

I hope this is not true, as this would be crazy.  

29/Male/Married/Father of One/Republican/CA-3


Opponent
While David Gill isn't much, I'm skeptical that his nomination makes the district entirely uncompetitive. I don't know Illinois, but I know we have some districts out here with mediocre Democratic candidates, e.g. CA-21 and CA-41, that can still win. The districts have enough Democratic voters.

R, CA-37; hometown: PA-2

[ Parent ]
Here in MA we have a pretty unqualified candidate for an open seat too
He's only 31. Didn't live in the district until recently. Did a little bit of work in the DA's office, but nothing high profile. Reeks of "some dude". Yet he's unopposed in the primary. I wonder why?  

30, Left leaning indie, MA-7

[ Parent ]
Democrats in Massachusetts
You know that Democrats in Massachusetts are disorganized and have no bench. I'm sure people are surprised they even managed to find someone to run here.  

R, CA-37; hometown: PA-2

[ Parent ]
To paraphrase Edward McCormack
"If your name were Joseph Patrick, your candidacy would be a joke."

[ Parent ]
IDK
I think Deval's son would be taken pretty seriously =).

R - MD-7

[ Parent ]
NM-Sen
I've been rating this Lean D for a while now, but a lot of people here often call it a Tossup. I feel somewhat vindicated.

21, Male, Conservative Republican, TN-08 (home), VA-01 (college)

You Feel "Vindicated"...
...in calling it "Lean D" after a poll shows a 46-42% spread?!

Still looks liked "Tossup" to me.  


[ Parent ]
D+4 state, current congressman
v.s former congresswoman (from the same seat), presidential year, 6% undecided.

21, Male, Conservative Republican, TN-08 (home), VA-01 (college)

[ Parent ]
If you buy Rasmussen as being on the money
Then sure you could call this toss up.  

But considering all things, all polls so far, the state, the year, fundraising etc.  It's Lean D.

33/M/D/NY-01 DKE:Socks The Cat


[ Parent ]
Not to mention
Rasmussen is a very accurate pollster. This election is definitely a toss up right now. But I do expect Obama to win this state and I don't expect Romney to campaign here. Heather Wilson needs some cross-over voters.

Male, PA-15, Libertarian leaning-Republican

[ Parent ]
But of the 4 lean D seats
I actually feel the best about our chances in this one. Wilson is proving to be significantly stronger than I initially thought - all it would take is for Balderas to scuff up Heinrich significantly and this could be a legit tossup.

R - MD-7

[ Parent ]
I feel much better about WI than NM.


21, Male, Conservative Republican, TN-08 (home), VA-01 (college)

[ Parent ]
WI's a Tossup, though


Age 21, CA-18 (home), CA-13 (college)
politicohen.com.
Idiosyncratic, pro-establishment. Liberal but not progressive.  For the poor, the children, the planet, and the rule of law.

Berkeley Class of 2015.


[ Parent ]
That's exactly my point.
WI is a Democratic-leaning state by PVI, but the Snate race this year is a Tossup.

21, Male, Conservative Republican, TN-08 (home), VA-01 (college)

[ Parent ]
WI Sen
I think it leans R with Thompson and I think it's a toss up if Fitzgerald or Neumann win the nomination.

From IL-09, Living in PA-07.

[ Parent ]
My 4 "Leans D" races
are NM, OH, FL, and HI. I have WI as a tossup.

R - MD-7

[ Parent ]
HI is probably Likely D
If the Dem candidate was horrible, or if polls showed a close race, it could go to Lean D, but I put that one in my oft-utilized 'I'll believe it when I see it' box.

21, Male, Conservative Republican, TN-08 (home), VA-01 (college)

[ Parent ]
PA House votes to cut its seat by 50
http://www.newsworks.org/index...

Not even close 140-49.  

http://www.legis.state.pa.us/C...

Almost all the Republicans and almost half the Democrats.

28, Republican, PA-6


This Has To Be Passed...
...Next session as well, correct?

And then it goes to the voters, yeah?  


[ Parent ]
Expect it will die quietly in the Senate
I assume this was a throwaway vote for the folks back home. Hard to believe legislators would kill off 1/4 of their colleagues.  I expect the Senate will bottle it up in committee & that will be that.

[ Parent ]
Not to many state senators go on to seek the lower state rep office
I'm thinking state senators while perhaps surprised it passed the house will go along.

42 Male Republican, Maryland Heights, MO (MO-2). Previously lived in both Memphis and Nashville.

[ Parent ]
Sounds like it will pass
It sounds like they got the votes in the Senate as well from what Pileggi said today.  I expect this to pass for one reason: It does not go into effect until the 2022 election.

One interesting question is if it dies if the Democrats retook the House.  Highly unlikely barring a 2006 style wave.

I support a different idea.  Setting the House district size at 100,000 and adding members as the state grows.  Set the Senate at 300,000 and grow it accordingly.

28, Republican, PA-6


[ Parent ]
Populations don't grow like that
You don't just add 100,000 people. You might add 130,547, or something like that. I understand that that can be alleviated through deviations from that, but it would make the target numbers not actually be the final numbers.

21, Male, Conservative Republican, TN-08 (home), VA-01 (college)

[ Parent ]
Must clear 100,000
Set an easy system.  If it is under 50,000, don't add a new district if it is over add a new district.  Seeing Pennsylvania has 12.742 million people, the state would have 127 House seats.  If the state adds 350,000 people over the next decade, it would go to 13.09 warranting 131 seats.

28, Republican, PA-6

[ Parent ]
Understood
It would be an interesting system for sure.

21, Male, Conservative Republican, TN-08 (home), VA-01 (college)

[ Parent ]
Bill of Rights nearly had a similar amendment
30,000 people = 1 House seat.

Would have to have been repealed a long time ago due to ridiculously sized House, of course.

Age 21, CA-18 (home), CA-13 (college)
politicohen.com.
Idiosyncratic, pro-establishment. Liberal but not progressive.  For the poor, the children, the planet, and the rule of law.

Berkeley Class of 2015.


[ Parent ]
Article the First
No, it did not (though that was the intention before it was altered by a joint committee)
   "Article the first... After the first enumeration required by the first article of the Constitution, there shall be one Representative for every thirty thousand, until the number shall amount to one hundred, after which the proportion shall be so regulated by Congress, that there shall be not less than one hundred Representatives, nor less than one Representative for every forty thousand persons, until the number of Representatives shall amount to two hundred; after which the proportion shall be so regulated by Congress, that there shall not be less than two hundred Representatives, nor more than one Representative for every fifty thousand persons. (emphasis added)"

http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/C...

Lifelong Republican, TX-17


[ Parent ]
actually would have no effect now
Quoting the wikipedia http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/A...

Article the first... After the first enumeration required by the first article of the Constitution, there shall be one Representative for every thirty thousand, until the number shall amount to one hundred, after which the proportion shall be so regulated by Congress, that there shall be not less than one hundred Representatives, nor less than one Representative for every forty thousand persons, until the number of Representatives shall amount to two hundred; after which the proportion shall be so regulated by Congress, that there shall not be less than two hundred Representatives, nor more than one Representative for every fifty thousand persons. (emphasis added)[1]

Were the amendment ratified while the 2010 United States Census population figure of 308,745,538 was current, the 1:50,000 Representative to constituent ratio maximum would allow up to 6175 Representatives

42 Male Republican, Maryland Heights, MO (MO-2). Previously lived in both Memphis and Nashville.


[ Parent ]
Setting by district size is bad idea
What happens if the state's population has a dramatic shift?

Male, PA-15, Libertarian leaning-Republican

[ Parent ]
Lancaster County
I was looking at the Lancaster County local election results and I think the Democrats might hold less than 10 local offices that are not mandated to have a member of the Democratic Party outside Lancaster City.

28, Republican, PA-6

What's the denominator?
How many local offices does LanCo have? Also, are they partisan? I'm used to city-level offices (not county-level, though) being officially non-partisan (though in Shelby County, you can find out on the party websites).

21, Male, Conservative Republican, TN-08 (home), VA-01 (college)

[ Parent ]
Everything is partisan
The concept of non-partisan offices never reached Pennsylvania.  

28, Republican, PA-6

[ Parent ]
WA-01 Internal
Do we know if its informed?  How in the world can Koster be that much higher than Burner and DelBenne not show up at all?

33/M/D/NY-01 DKE:Socks The Cat

Koster is well-known in the area as a County Commissioner
and has run for WA-02 multiple times.

21, Male, Conservative Republican, TN-08 (home), VA-01 (college)

[ Parent ]
Yup, 10% of the old WA-08
is in the new WA-01. Yes, there is overlap in big picture Seattle TV media markets, but it would certainly be different in terms of radio, newspaper, and I think (not sure) cable TV providers.

aka, Delbene, Burner, etc. who've run for WA-08 before, have to introduce themselves to maybe 3/4 of the new WA-01.  

Some of my best friends call me a "Demoncrat"


[ Parent ]
This is actually under the old lines, isn't it?


21, Male, Conservative Republican, TN-08 (home), VA-01 (college)

[ Parent ]
The chatter w/r/t the special for the WA-01 under the old lines
is that they'd go for some sort of "consensus" candidate -- my wild guess would be someone like Melinda Gates (Bill's wife) or Rick Steves (the travel author, who lives in Edmonds).

In other words, the major candidates on both sides for the new WA-01 don't want to bother for the special in the old WA-01.

(Hope I understood the gist of your question correctly.)

Some of my best friends call me a "Demoncrat"


[ Parent ]
Not really
What I meant was that it doesn't matter, in relation to the special election, how much of the old WA-08 is in the new WA-01, since the poll was for the special election. Or am I wrong on that? Was the poll for the primary for the new WA-01?

21, Male, Conservative Republican, TN-08 (home), VA-01 (college)

[ Parent ]
It would be the primary for the new WA-01
From the link
The Koster for Congress campaign announced results today of a March 24-27 *poll showing that John Koster is the clear frontrunner in the race for the congressional seat in Washington's newly drawn 1st Congressional District.  


Some of my best friends call me a "Demoncrat"

[ Parent ]
Ah
Thanks for the clarification.

21, Male, Conservative Republican, TN-08 (home), VA-01 (college)

[ Parent ]
The poll is for the new district
It doesnt look like Koster will even run for the special election. Makes sense since he doesnt live in the old WA-1

26, Republican, WA-03 (represented by wonderful Congresswoman Jaime Herrera Beutler).

[ Parent ]
Cute, I guess
Someone gets to add "former Congress(wo)man" to their resume!

[ Parent ]
Shelley Sekula-Gibbs
Hah, just like SK-G.

From IL-09, Living in PA-07.

[ Parent ]
Koster is the only R
so GOP voters have no other real options.

Most Democrats aren't any less informed than Republicans, but they have multiple options.

Age 21, CA-18 (home), CA-13 (college)
politicohen.com.
Idiosyncratic, pro-establishment. Liberal but not progressive.  For the poor, the children, the planet, and the rule of law.

Berkeley Class of 2015.


[ Parent ]
A bit off topic, but...
We had an in class essay test on Hamlet today in AP Lit Comp and I wrote Shamlet instead of Hamlet twice before I realized my mistakes. Heh. RRH is invading my mind.

From IL-09, Living in PA-07.

Sorry!
My username has almost nothing to do with Hamlet; it's the name of a Capitol Steps album from the late 80s.

I almost chose "mugwump" as my username (because of the band The Mugwumps, a predecessor of my favorite band of all time) but thought the better of it because I didn't want to be associated with the 1880s political movement; I'm not that willing to vote against Rs.

R - MD-7


[ Parent ]
Duffy's good vibrations and our imaginations
Can't go on indefinitely
And California dreamin' is becomin' a reality...

I loved that song when I was like 11 for some reason.


[ Parent ]
Romney winning Pa
https://twitter.com/#!/ppppoll...
Do you think Romney will end up winning in Santorum's home state? If more polls show this, maybe Santorum gets a lot of pressure to withdraw from the race.

Not surprising
I have been predicting this for weeks.  Pennsylvania's closed primary rules prevents crossover appeal and/or electoral games from Democrats.

28, Republican, PA-6

[ Parent ]
The race has been over for weeks
some people are just now accepting that though.

SC1-Charleston

[ Parent ]
Yeah, I suspect Santorum exits by mid-April
Toomey and Corbett wading into this sooner than later could probably expedite that process.

For now, Santorum will brush this off as a Democratic pollster cooking the books, but the writing's on the wall and Santorum's too politically savvy to overlook it. He wants to run in 2016 and to lose Pennsylvania destroys that possibility.

24, MA-07, Rockefeller Republican. Visit me at http://twitter.com/polibeast


[ Parent ]
key dates
April 10th: St Charles caucus (take 2)

April 12-13: Colorado district conventions

April 14: Colorado & Wyoming state convention

April 14-21: Minnesota: district conventions

April 21: Missouri district conventions

April 24: Those primaries

I'd say the best dates if he wants to drop out are evening of the 21st following last of Minnesota & Missouri district conventions results being announced and the 22nd.

42 Male Republican, Maryland Heights, MO (MO-2). Previously lived in both Memphis and Nashville.


[ Parent ]
Ellmers endorses Rouzer for NC-7
http://projects.newsobserver.c...
I don't think anyone has mentioned this yet. Congresswoman Renee Ellmers endorsing David Rouzer for NC-7 is significant because Ellmers represents part of the current NC-2 that will be in the new NC-7. Rouzer, due to him being a state senator and having been involved in government for decades, has accrued many significant endorsements. Plus, he has a significant fundraising advantage over the 2010 NC-7 GOP nominee, Ilario Pantano. Rouzer has been attacked by Pantano for positions he has taken dealing with immigration. Pantano also seems   to be a more natural campaigner. In the end, Rouzer's financial edge probably wins the nomination for him.

I hope he does
As I think it puts away McIntrye. Not as sure with Pantano.

SC1-Charleston

[ Parent ]
Rouzer
I have to think he romps in Johnson County. That has to be one of, if not the, largest chunk of primary voters here, no?  

Male, LA-01

Cassidy, Rounds, Ernst, Handel, Land for Senate!  


[ Parent ]
Is one of them
New Hanover County (Wilmington) has a large chunk of them. Johnston probably has the second highest amount of GOP primary voters.

[ Parent ]
Katrina Swett
Did anyone else not know she was Tom Lantos' daughter? I was reading about him after looking at BP's CA map, and apparently Katrina Swett is his daughter

Male, LA-01

Cassidy, Rounds, Ernst, Handel, Land for Senate!  


Yep
Knew about that. And her husband Dick Swett was a New Hampshire Congressman.

SC1-Charleston

[ Parent ]
Knew about Dick
And I thought that was Katrina's claim to fame, not her dad too  

Male, LA-01

Cassidy, Rounds, Ernst, Handel, Land for Senate!  


[ Parent ]
Lantos' Daughter is a Mormon?!
There's a huge shocker... and she's a Democrat on top of it? Her husband, the former Democratic Congressman, is a Mormon, too.

From IL-09, Living in PA-07.

[ Parent ]
Katrina Lantos Swett
She should have married Jason Chaffetz. . . they're the world's only two Jewish Mormons. :p Politics (and age) may have been an issue, though.

From IL-09, Living in PA-07.

[ Parent ]
Yup, Tom Lantos was a progressive (though cold war type) hero
Katrina Swett is thought of as a "blue dog" (though I suspect that's a bit unfair, depending on your perspective). It would have been more difficult for Katrina to run (some of) her father's campaigns if they were that far apart politically.

Some of my best friends call me a "Demoncrat"

[ Parent ]
Romney draws 600 in Broomall PA
http://www.mcall.com/news/loca...

Obviously the DelCo machine has their candidate...

28, Republican, PA-6


hmm
"Ryan Ditchkofsky, 26, of Philadelphia said he "loves" Santorum, but "it's over for him." Ditchkofsky, a Republican with a law degree, is joining the Air Force, so he's particularly interested in national security issues.

"[Romney] is saying all the right things about that," he said. "I think he's going to be a conservative president."

Ditchkofsky's girlfriend, Ronda Class, 23, of Harleysville, Montgomery County, said Romney's wife, Ann, sealed the deal for her."

For a second I thought this was you.

27, R, PA-07.


[ Parent ]
NY: Romney up 33 over Santorum, Turner up 8 over Long
http://www.quinnipiac.edu/inst...

With Obama and Gillibrand, no surprise, thumping the GOP competition in the general.

24, MA-07, Rockefeller Republican. Visit me at http://twitter.com/polibeast


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