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Afternoon Roundup for April 17, 2012

by: BostonPatriot

Tue Apr 17, 2012 at 17:14:48 PM EDT


Florida: PPP's latest poll has Obama's approvals at 51/45 and he sports a similar 50-45 lead over Romney. Jeb Bush remains the most popular politician in Florida (50/42), and his presence on the ticket would boost Romney slightly, while Marco Rubio would not.

Michigan: I'm generally not one to believe that Romney's ties to Michigan will make the state more competitive this fall, but Politico's Charlie Mahtesian (who has replaced David Catanese) makes an interesting point: Romney has outraised Obama in Michigan, despite the President's big cash edge nationwide.

TX-Sen: David Dewhurst and Ted Cruz both made statewide TV buys (which is quite the expensive task in Texas) that focus on Cruz's background. Dewhurst's ad is hard negative, calling Cruz a trial lawyer who has helped Chinese companies kill American jobs. Cruz focuses on a case he won, against the ACLU, which allowed a cross-shaped memorial to veterans to stand.

PA-17: Might Tim Holden, lord of Schuylkill, actually lose? The League of Conservation Voters is going up on TV with a $230K buy tying Holden to Bush's energy policies. Meanwhile, Roll Call spent the weekend on the ground in PA-17, and now considers Holden the underdog due to his low name rec in Lackawanna and Luzurne. Holden is further hurt by the closed-primary system, as many of his strongest supporters in Schuylkill are Republicans and can't vote for him. He did, however, pick up an endorsement from Scranton's own Bob Casey today.

TN-03: Chuck Fleischmann is another incumbent facing a tough primary, and according to this internal poll from Scottie Mayfield, he's fallen behind. Mayfield leads at 34, with Fleischmann and Weston "Son of Zach" Wamp both at 25. Tennessee is the lone Deep South state not to employ runoffs, so Fleischmann could squeak through if the anti-incumbent vote is divided. This primary is in August.

New Jersey: Chris Christie is still in good shape, with Monmouth giving him 51-35 approvals. Notably, he now breaks even with public employee households, after being down 32-61 with them last winter. It may not seem it, but Christie's re-election is only 18 months away.
BostonPatriot :: Afternoon Roundup for April 17, 2012
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Afternoon Roundup for April 17, 2012 | 100 comments
TN-03
I may need to make inquiries among the kinfolk...

20, Male, Conservative Republican, TN-08 (home), VA-01 (college)
*amongst
I forgot that I was using regional dialect.

20, Male, Conservative Republican, TN-08 (home), VA-01 (college)
[ Parent ]
PPP
Has ALL Rs leading in the senate recalls, including a double-digit lead in the open seat.
Now it makes sense why she resigned after the session. It's a safe hold.  

24, Male, R, NY-10

Christie-Toomey 2016!

I wouldn't be surprised if you guys lose 21,
but obviously you should win all the others.
[ Parent ]
That's all it would take...


20, Male, Conservative Republican, TN-08 (home), VA-01 (college)
[ Parent ]
Interestingly
If a D wins it (unlikely IMO) he's totally doomed in the new map.  

24, Male, R, NY-10

Christie-Toomey 2016!

[ Parent ]
Why?
Did the new map connect the Democratic parts of this district to Milwaukee or something?
[ Parent ]
district 21
Was redistricted into a heavily GOP district. 22 was turned into a heavy Dem district.

26, R, PA-01.



[ Parent ]
The new district
Is 42% Obama IIRC.  

24, Male, R, NY-10

Christie-Toomey 2016!

[ Parent ]
Update
SD-21 Wanggaard went to 58.1% Bush from 50.01 Kerry.
That is the concrete data that I have now.
http://m.jsonline.com/blogs/ne...

Do you think a D can hold a district 9 points redder than WI as a whole?  

24, Male, R, NY-10

Christie-Toomey 2016!

[ Parent ]
Wanggaard
Beat an incumbent by 5 points in 2010.He should win again, but he can't win by too much as the district is 50% Kerry now, like WI as a whole.  

24, Male, R, NY-10

Christie-Toomey 2016!

[ Parent ]
I'm surprised we didn't try to recall Vinehout
She won by less than a percent in 2010 and her district isn't that blue. Plus, she's running for governor, so it would seem to be worth it just to mess with her.
[ Parent ]
MD-6
Delaney internal has him up 48-39.  

24, Male, R, NY-10

Christie-Toomey 2016!

Then it's a dead heat.


20, Male, Conservative Republican, TN-08 (home), VA-01 (college)
[ Parent ]
MD-06
Just because it's an internal doesn't mean Delaney's camp skewed it as heavily as you're suggesting, if at all.

From suburban Chicago's North Shore, now living on suburban Philadelphia's Main Line. Back home until July.
[ Parent ]
I use the same rule of thumb for every internal poll.
It generally keeps me from getting too excited by my own side's internals, and it usually is proved true.

20, Male, Conservative Republican, TN-08 (home), VA-01 (college)
[ Parent ]
Primary was on point
Same poll, so I think its reliable.

32/M/D/NY-01 DKE:Socks The Cat

Hillary/Booker 2016
[ Parent ]
PPP peeks into 2016
http://www.publicpolicypolling...

Clinton - 57
Biden - 14
Warren - 6 (!)
Cuomo - 5
Feingold - 3
Warner - 2
O'Malley - 1
Schweitzer - 1

Christie - 21
Bush (Jeb) - 17
Huckabee - 17
Santorum - 12
Rubio - 10
Ryan - 7
Paul (Rand) - 4
Jindal - 3

23, MA-07, Rockefeller Republican. Christie-Martinez in 2016. Visit me at http://twitter.com/polibeast

Wisconsin State Senate recall numbers
SD-21 (MoE: ±3.9%):

John Lehman (D): 46
Van Wanggaard (R-inc): 48
Undecided: 5

SD-23 (MoE: ±3.6%):
Kristin Dexter (D): 41
Terry Moulton (R-inc): 51
Undecided: 8

SD-29 (MoE: ±3.6%):
Donna Seidel (D): 37
Jerry Petrowski (R): 51
Undecided: 12

SD-13 (MoE: ±3.5%):
Lori Compas (D): 40
Scott Fitzgerald (R-inc): 54
Undecided: 6

NY-3

Recall
Are any of these really blue normally?

32/M/D/NY-01 DKE:Socks The Cat

Hillary/Booker 2016
[ Parent ]
Well SD-21
covers part of Racine, which is very democratic. But the rest aren't.

NY-3
[ Parent ]
And SD-29 could've been more competitive
but the incumbent Pam Galloway, who was recalled, retired shortly after it was certified. Now one of the Assemblyman in the district is running and even though has the same voting record as Galloway, I don't think he's going to get the same scrutiny.

NY-3
[ Parent ]
I Told You All That Petrowski Was The Best 'Get' Here (nt)

[ Parent ]
Yup
Galloway underperformed in 2010 compared to Bush benchmark and Petrowski has the right background. The switcheroo took all the drama out of this seat.
[ Parent ]
Jerry Petrowski is the closest you can get to
a generic republican.

NY-3
[ Parent ]
No, but it's tough to tell
http://www.dailykos.com/story/...

Wisconsin doesn't have party registration, so I have no idea how they came up with how the sample should be weighted. When I look at polls, I compare historicals and figure out where it's going to end up. I don't see how you can do that here.

Isn't the legislature adjourned for the year? Won't it be in session next when the new legislature is seated? Won't Republicans win enough districts that it won't matter?

R, CA-37; hometown: PA-2

[ Parent ]
PPP's Wisconsin polls
in the last Senate recalls were on the spot so I'm not going to question their methods in this instance.  

NY-3
[ Parent ]
Agree
They seemed to know how to do this last time.

Bad result for the Democrats.  Hopefully the Wisconsin Democrats will sit down and shut up if we win these races.  I am not holding my breath.  They might try to recall the voters next or secede from Wisconsin and form the People's Republic of Madison.

27, Republican, PA-6

[ Parent ]
The only thing that is suspect
is Fitzgerald getting 54%, really? I bet he doesn't get below 65%, he hasn't had a democratic opponent in years.

NY-3
[ Parent ]
How's his current district?
The new one is 60% Bush. I don't remember it changing much.  

24, Male, R, NY-10

Christie-Toomey 2016!

[ Parent ]
Time for the GOP to focus their money and GOTV on SD-21

[ Parent ]
Fleischmann losing?
I don't trust campaign polls much but I wouldn't be too surprised if Fleischmann doesn't win. Two years ago Fleischmann won a crowded bitter primary contest. Most voters did not vote for him. So while Fleischmann is favored, he just might be defeated.
Chris Christie in good shape?
Have you seen him?

R, CA-37; hometown: PA-2
Haha
Long as reelection does not involve a physical fitness test.

27, Republican, PA-6
[ Parent ]
Spherical is a shape

[ Parent ]
TN is NOT a Deep South state
Deep South is only the states that left before Ft Sumter.

West Tennessee usually refers to itself as being part of the Mid South.



41 Male Republican, Maryland Heights, MO (MO-2). Previously lived in both Memphis and Nashville.

As to East TN
I'm not sure if that region would like Mid South being applied to them, but they wouldn't like being refereed to as Deep South either.


41 Male Republican, Maryland Heights, MO (MO-2). Previously lived in both Memphis and Nashville.
[ Parent ]
Um
only South Carolina had seceded by the time the Union attacked Sumter...
[ Parent ]
Not so; 7 were out
All but VA, TN, NC, & AR were out by the time of Ft Sumter.
[ Parent ]
Not so; 7 were out
All but VA, TN, NC, & AR were out by the time of Ft Sumter.
[ Parent ]
UT-4; Mia Love polling best amongst delegates
http://www.deseretnews.com/m/a...

28/Male/Married/Republican/CA-3
Lovely


20, Male, Conservative Republican, TN-08 (home), VA-01 (college)
[ Parent ]
Lol


Member, Small Government Caucus

21, Pro-life Libertarian-leaning R, NC-1


[ Parent ]
Go Mia!
Love her...
[ Parent ]
Wimmer and Sandstrom
I have a feeling that Sandstrom's delegates will end up going to Wimmer and then a primary will happen. Just my gut feeling.

From suburban Chicago's North Shore, now living on suburban Philadelphia's Main Line. Back home until July.
[ Parent ]
I think so too
But if anyone gets to 60%, I think it will be Love.

28/Male/Married/Republican/CA-3
[ Parent ]
9th Circuit upholds voter ID
http://www.chicagotribune.com/...

If the 9th Circuit upheld it, SCOTUS might require it.

27, Republican, PA-6

Filling in Some Details...
An earlier 3 judge panel on the 9th Circuit had already upheld the AZ voter ID law (I'm guessing in a 2-1 vote?).

This was an en banc ruling from a larger 12 judge panel of the 9th circuit, which affirmed the earlier ruling. It looks like the vote was 10-1-1(?) (more below).

While the ruling upheld voter ID to vote, it struck down a provision making people show proof of citizenship to register to vote in (federal) elections - the panel ruled Fed. law superseded this.

One of the dissents upheld not just the voter ID part, but even the proof of citizenship part of the AZ law. (Ballsy for a 9th circuit judge!!)

The other dissent was obviously from a loony leftist who said voter ID discriminates against Hispanics (how?!).

The interesting thing about this is it implies that a Republican Congress with a Pres. Romney could pass a federal law requiring proof of citizenship to register to vote in Federal elections - if so, I would encourage the GOP to pass such a law.

Bottom line: If even the 9th Circuit will rule 11-1 in favor of voter ID laws, it's not getting struck down anywhere.

Hmmm... maybe the Kos-types want to drop their tiresome tripe about "vote suppression" after this?...  

[ Parent ]
there is an interesting interaction with a federal requirement on state ids
A few years back, the feds attached some measure to have the states basically check the same list of items that the feds requirement for a passport for the state ids as an airline security measure.

Almost all states are now in compliance; so if the only form of photo id that is acceptable in AZ is the state ids; it amounts to a proof of citizenship check (the proof of citizenship having been made when they got the license)

41 Male Republican, Maryland Heights, MO (MO-2). Previously lived in both Memphis and Nashville.

[ Parent ]
Photo ID is Voter ID 101
in several states.  The ID that it violates some sort of federal law or voting rights of anyone is silly.

If Photo ID is okay for OH and TN why not AZ or TX or SC?  

[ Parent ]
IDK if anyone else watches "Modern Family"
But last week's episode was about an election, and one storyline was about Ed O'Neill's character trying to get in and out of his polling place quickly so his ex-flame, who's working the polls, doesn't notice him. When she goes on break, he rushes in, grabs a ballot...and shows an ID. The show wasn't trying to make any statement but the effect was that even in a low-stakes local election, it's like second nature to show ID at the polls.
[ Parent ]
Maybe, But Voter ID Will Never Come To California
I can pretty much guarantee that.  
[ Parent ]
Agree
When I was an elections inspector in Delaware County most people thought you already had to show ID.  Many were shocked that you did not have to show it.  I was responsible for a pretty diverse ward including a decent size minority community.  The minority community did not seem to react any different when being told.

27, Republican, PA-6
[ Parent ]
I guess
I just assumed that show was more liberal propaganda like most of Hollywood so I have never seen it.

(MO-7) Voted for Brunner in MO GOP Senate primary
[ Parent ]
WI-Gov: New Barrett ad
Hits Walker on women's issues:

http://www.youtube.com/watch?v...

I found it pretty "meh" to be honest.

(-9.38, -7.49), Blood type "O", social anarchist, KY 01, "When smashing monuments, save the pedestals. They always come in handy."


-- Stanisław Lem

The pow was really unnecessary
having a simple ad using the same "War on Women" talking points is so much more effective.

And if you don't like Tom Barrett, you aren't going to believe what he saying in a speech and are more likely to tune out of the ad. This won't sway Walker supporters/leaners one bit.

NY-3

[ Parent ]
Agree
This ad kind of screams desperation on my part.  I thought the recall was about the unions.  Apparently that is not getting the job done as seen in the PPP poll.

I think we are seeing the meltdown of "mean-spirited" progressivism.

27, Republican, PA-6

[ Parent ]
Yeah, you're on to something here
Barrett isn't running on fiscal and administrative issues because he knows he can't win on that. So it's off to the time-honored stalwarts: "women's issues" and other forms of identity politics. I'm sure we'll get to environmentalism soon.

Also, I liked that two of Barrett's quotes "ripped from the headlines" were from Daily Kos and Ed Schultz.

[ Parent ]
I have to wonder
Is there a certain point where Democrats will realize that their rhetoric is so hyperbolic that they just look ridiculous?

Is Scott Walker going to sit in exams that women have with their doctors?

R, CA-37; hometown: PA-2

[ Parent ]
I don't understand
how Walker passing a bill where underage girls who are getting an abortion have to discuss the operation/options with the doctor in private is somehow a "war on women." Since when does someone just walk into the hospital and have an operation without talking to your doctor first?

NY-3
[ Parent ]
Not sure
A private conversation about such things seems actually like something the pro-choice crowd should want.

27, Republican, PA-6
[ Parent ]
The pro abortion crowd
really doesn't want anything that might reduce more abortions IMO.

Member, Small Government Caucus

21, Pro-life Libertarian-leaning R, NC-1


[ Parent ]
The thing is, Democrats don't have a message
At a recent forum, Barrett and Falk wouldn't answer how they would've balanced the budget. They argued back and forth as to why they can restore collective bargaining, even though the Assembly has a strong GOP majority.

Barrett's answer on how he will restore collective bargaining? "I'll put so much pressure on them that they will be shaking in their boots."

This is the Democrats answer as to how to solve Wisconsin's problems: intimidation. It won't work.

NY-3

[ Parent ]
Here's the link
"I would be honored to do that, and we would get that bill passed through the Senate, I know we would, and we would put so much pressure on the Assembly that they'd be quaking in their boots and they would have to pass that legislation. That's not a lie."

http://elections.wispolitics.c...

NY-3

[ Parent ]
Wow
Does he honestly believe that taxing people more "led to the largest economic expansion in the history of this country?" Seriously? It stretches credulity to even think he believes that. Every economist, even Keynsians, agree that increasing taxes decreases productivity. Keynsians think it's a small amount, but they do acknowledge this. How could increasing taxes on people lead to economic expansion?

I imagine Republicans are intimidated. They didn't back down when the senators fled to Illinois or when protesters slept in the state capitol, but they are really mushy and will fold immediately.

R, CA-37; hometown: PA-2

[ Parent ]
AZ-08
Primary today. Will be liveblogging, but we don't get results for another 2.5 hours. Rooting for McSally!  

Male, LA-06/LA-01 (Home is where the heart is)
Cassidy, Tillis, Rounds, Latham for Senate!  
IN-Sen Push Poll
I just got called on the GOP primary asking my candidate preference.  I was then told negative statements about Lugar and again asked my candidate preference.  Finally, I was told negative statements about Mourdock and once again asked for my candidate preference.  Since I was given negatives about both, I assume this is a Donnelly push poll?

33, R, IN-09
Ugh!
Bad methodologies irk me so much. So much. You shouldn't do push polls. They are unscientific. You can do focus groups to see how people react to various statements. You could even do something similar in a poll, but...gosh...ugh...die...
[ Parent ]
Push Poll
Once I determined it was a push poll, I just decided to give erratic answers.  I hope they don't mind.

33, R, IN-09
[ Parent ]
Push polls are often not for polling
as much as they are to sway the voters who are called. You're probably thinking of 'informed ballot tests,' which are often part of internal polls that are released.

20, Male, Conservative Republican, TN-08 (home), VA-01 (college)
[ Parent ]
Doesnt sound like a push poll
It doesn't sound like a push poll, it sounds like one of the campaigns is trying to find out what issues move votes & what issues dont.  They can then advertise heavily on the issues that help them, and prepare "defense" ads to neutralize the issues that the poll shows would hurt them.

Every sensible campaign does this--you need to know what's the worst the other guys can do to you & what's the worst you can do to them.

[ Parent ]
IN-Sen
Whatever it was (push poll, issues survey, etc...) they need to hire a better firm.  I know Indiana prohibits robocalls, but my pollster's Indiana accent was so thick I needed him to repeat everything.  Not to mention that he sounded so bored while going through the negative statements.

33, R, IN-09
[ Parent ]
No, you shouldn't.
This is standard messaging poll standards. There's nothing bad about that poll, and it could be from either Lugar or Mourdock, probably not a Democrat.
[ Parent ]
And Just Polled on My End
It was for one of the local San Diego stations around here (specifically for their news division). Second time I've gotten polled by them.

It was on the Bilbray race. They didn't poll on voting, just favorability. I gave "favorable" ratings to Bilbray, and Doyle (hey! if a guy, even an Indie running a shoe-string campaign, 'cold calls' me he's going to get a "favorable" ratings from me, though I know nothing about Doyle's record as mayor of Santee). Peters and Saldana got "unfavorable" ratings from me, 'natch. I voted "neutral" on Stahl. The others I all voted "no opinion" on, as I've heard nothing about them.

They then went through the usual age, demo, and political particulars, but the end of the poll was interesting, asking about my cell phone usage (I'm mostly a 'land line' guy still...).  

Cell phone usage
I was asked about cell usage as well in mt IN-Senate poll.  Since I have no home phone, I am only cell.

33, R, IN-09
[ Parent ]
TX-14: Nick Lampson raised 304K
Posted on facebook: http://www.facebook.com/nlampson

(-9.38, -7.49), Blood type "O", social anarchist, KY 01, "When smashing monuments, save the pedestals. They always come in handy."


-- Stanisław Lem
Fair, but mostly immaterial.
He was probably Dems' best bet (short of State Rep. Craig Elland), but the race is still Likely R in my opinion.

20, Male, Conservative Republican, TN-08 (home), VA-01 (college)
[ Parent ]
Georgia Democratic Party's Political Director has been arrested 12 times
Wow if true.


24, Male, R, NY-10

Christie-Toomey 2016!

[ Parent ]
If you know more about this, it wouldn't
really be a wow. This guy is a complete joke.  
[ Parent ]
Is the GADP
This big of a joke?  

24, Male, R, NY-10

Christie-Toomey 2016!

[ Parent ]
No, they aren't
Obviously, they aren't a very successful state party, but they at least have a strategy of how to attempt to register and win back Democrats. Any kind of a coherent plan is absent in TN, AL, MS, SC, and LA. After Beebe leaves and if McDaniel loses, Arkansas will probably turn the same way.

Anyway, the very fact that this guy is in such a high position annoys me...

[ Parent ]
No charges to be filed against Rep. David Rivera
Ok
Another botched up job by South Florida's liberal newspaper.
All indications are anyway that Rivera is in pretty decent shape.  

24, Male, R, NY-10

Christie-Toomey 2016!

[ Parent ]
Tampa isn't 'South Florida.'


20, Male, Conservative Republican, TN-08 (home), VA-01 (college)
[ Parent ]
Rivera
He meant that the Miami paper had thrown all of these allegations at Rivera.

From suburban Chicago's North Shore, now living on suburban Philadelphia's Main Line. Back home until July.
[ Parent ]
Ah
So do we think that Rivera is innocent, or just good at avoiding prosecution?

20, Male, Conservative Republican, TN-08 (home), VA-01 (college)
[ Parent ]
Gary Miller vs. Bob Dutton

So, which candidate do you...

 

  1. prefer?
  2. think has a better chance at winning the 31st?
  3. think would fundraise better (aside from the guaranteed NRCC cash given to Miller)?

 



From suburban Chicago's North Shore, now living on suburban Philadelphia's Main Line. Back home until July.
Dutton bombed
The first quarter fundraising numbers came out and Dutton raised roughly the same amount as Justin Kim. Who is Justin Kim? No idea. He filed without actually having a campaign going and raised $107,000 in the month of March. Dutton out raised him by $600, but only because he threw $31,000 of his own money into the till. Kim put in $215 of his own money.

When you're out raised by a candidate who is unknown and has no shot of winning you aren't going to win either. Miller, on the other hand, has $1,169,689 C-O-H and has enough PAC money that you'd think he was a Democrat.

I have no optimism on Bob Dutton.  

R, CA-37; hometown: PA-2

[ Parent ]
I Have No Optimism If Miller Is The Nominee
This looks like it's a case where the national boys don't know what they're doing, and are going to cost us a seat.

They just looked at Miller's money, and assumed that would be good enough. Then they probably leaned on even the local money guys not to give to Dutton.

The problem is Dutton was more popular with the local GOP, and he was known in the district. Miller is just some moneybag$ carpetbagger.

I feel pretty strongly that, if Miller is the nominee, the Dems will take this seat with relative ease.  

[ Parent ]
Leaning?
I have no idea if anyone "leaned" on local money guys, but I doubt even Kevin McCarthy would and could discourage people who have helped finance Bob Dutton's campaigns for years. There's no evidence Dutton has popularity with the local GOP. Miller got the state party endorsement and I don't think the county party endorsed anyone.

Miller is no carpetbagger. His house is about 13 miles from the district. He's been involved in real estate throughout the area for years. The people know who he is.

I've never met Gary Miller and I think he has serious ethical questions. Miller may well lose the seat in November. But if Bob Dutton can't beat him on June 5 then he isn't the candidate for the district either.

R, CA-37; hometown: PA-2

[ Parent ]
TN-03
I just talked to my uncle in the Chattanooga area, and he clarified a few things. First let me say that he goes to county GOP meetings (in Walker County, GA), and is a reliable source, though he hasn't been following this primary closely.

Fleischmann: Apparently, Fleischmann is viewed as a dork who doesn't do well with the public. He didn't make many public appearances in 2010 until late in the campaign, which turned people off, and he comes off as a dork on television.

Wamp: my uncle was very annoyed that Wamp tried this, and has heard similar feelings from other locals.

Mayfield: This guy took his family business and built it into a dairy empire. Many Chattanoogans know him because he used to be in his own commercials. He's a local legend. Think Fred Smith on a smaller scale. My uncle wasn't at all surprised that he might be in the lead.

20, Male, Conservative Republican, TN-08 (home), VA-01 (college)

This one going to the dogs
The Obama campaign is going hard after Romney about the whole dog on the roof thing 30 years ago. Apparently there's an obscure book that alleges that Barack Obama used to eat dogs.

http://dailycaller.com/2012/04...

I'm sure that's not true. I have two dogs and I can't imagine my President having eaten one.  

R, CA-37; hometown: PA-2

What I want to know is...
Did he ever get to eat tiger meat, and how tough was it?

male, social, fiscal and foreign policy center-right Republican, in but not of academia, VA-08.
[ Parent ]
To me it is political malpractice
by the Hilary & McCain campaigns that this wasnt made an issue in 2008. They should have been all over this back then when it could have really hurt him.
[ Parent ]
CBS/NYT has Mitt and Barack tied
Down from a 3-pt Obama lead.
http://m.cbsnews.com/fullstory...

24, Male, R, NY-10

Christie-Toomey 2016!

CBS/NYT: Obama 46, Romney 46
http://www.cbsnews.com/8301-50...

23, MA-07, Rockefeller Republican. Christie-Martinez in 2016. Visit me at http://twitter.com/polibeast
I assume White house
will add CBS & New York times to their list of bias pollsters.
[ Parent ]
Of course
The trend is clear... Obama is losing ground to Romney.

27, Republican, PA-6
[ Parent ]
Blast from the past
"Sen Repubs have hired Miguel Estrada, a filibustered Bush nominee, to fight WH over recess appointments"

Reid Wilson

https://twitter.com/#!/Hotline...

Afternoon Roundup for April 17, 2012 | 100 comments
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