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Political Roundup For May 18, 2012

by: SCRep

Fri May 18, 2012 at 09:00:00 AM EDT


President

Americans Elect: Americans Elect has officially given up seeking a third party presidential candidate. No candidate met the threshold in the group's online nominating system. In a statement, Americans Elect says the rules developed are clear and "the primary process for the Americans Elect nomination has come to an end."

Romney: Mitt Romney and the RNC raised $40.1 million in April, the campaign announced Thursday. President Obama and the DNC had announced a $43.6 million dollar haul a day before. The figure is a big improvement over Romney's $12.5 million total for March.

More Romney: Former Massachusetts governor Mitt Romney is airing his first general election ads in a couple days, a positive biographical spot introducing himself to voters. The ad will run in Iowa, North Carolina, Virginia and Ohio.

Super PACs: A super PAC led by TD Ameritrade founder Joe Ricketts has rejected a proposal that would link President Obama to his former pastor Jeremiah Wright, a line of attack that the GOP rejected in 2008 and one which presumptive Republican presidential nominee Mitt Romney repudiated today. The $10 million plan, outlined in a 54 page strategy document, would include television and newspaper ads as well as outdoor advertisements and aerial banners.

Senate

Nebraska: State Sen. Deb Fischer starts with an 18 percentage point lead in her race against former Sen. Bob Kerrey, according to a just completed Rasmussen Reports poll. Fischer receives 56% support to 38% for Kerrey, with 3% undecided.

North Dakota: The first independent poll of the North Dakota Senate race shows Rep. Rick Berg at 51% versus former state Attorney General Heidi Heitkamp at 44%. Before today, the only poll results publicly released in the Senate race came from state and national Democrats, who claimed as recently as late April that Heitkamp led Berg by several percentage points.

House

AZ-6: Rep. David Schweikert received the endorsement of FreedomWorks in his race against Rep. Ben Quayle, following previous endorsements by Citizens United and the Club for Growth, as well as Sen. Pat Toomey. Quayle is thought to have the backing of much of the GOP leadership in the House.

AZ-8: Both parties are using the special election to replace Rep. Gabrielle Giffords to test their messages for the Fall. The NRCC has dumped hundreds of thousands of dollars into television spots that criticize Barber on health care reform and Medicare cuts while using shots of Obama and House Minority Leader Nancy Pelosi. The Democrats, meanwhile, are going after Kelly on Medicare and Social Security, suggesting he would support House Budget Chairman Paul Ryan's budget plan.

CA-24: Lt. Gov. Abel Maldonado launched his first TV ad, a $200,000 buy that will run for three weeks. As the only Democrat, Rep. Lois Capps is assured of advancing beyond the June 5 all party primary, while Maldonado and actor Chris Mitchum compete for the second spot.

CO-6: Rep. Mike Coffman is coming under attack for some comments made about President Obama'a citizenship. "I don't know whether Barack Obama was born in the United States of America. I don't know that," Coffman said. "But I do know this, that in his heart, he's not an American. He's just not an American." Coffman has issued a written apology and said he misspoke.

KY-4: A preview of next Tuesday's Republican primary in Kentucky's 4th District. The local Republican establishment has split its support between state Rep. Alecia Webb-Edgington and Boone County Judge-Executive Gary Moore. Several outside tea party affiliated groups, and Sen. Rand Paul, are backing Lewis County Judge-Executive Thomas Massie.

MI-14: Rep. Gary Peters has been endorsed by a host of Detroit community leaders, including Mayor Dave Bing, in his member versus member race against Rep. Hansen Clarke.

New Hampshire: PPP finds both New Hampshire House races are close. In the 1st Congressional District, Carol Shea-Porter leads Republican incumbent Frank Guinta 47-43 in a rematch of their 2010 contest. Guinta's become increasingly unpopular as his first term has progressed, going from a 39/38 approval rating last July to a 36/44 one now. In the 2nd Congressional District, Charlie Bass and Ann McLane Kuster are tied at 42%. On the previous survey Bass had a 43-42 advantage.

North Dakota: The Club for Growth has endorsed Public Service Commissioner Kevin Cramer, just one day after FreedomWorks announced their support for his bid. The North Dakota Republican Party support Public Service Commissioner Brian Kalk, who received the party's official endorsement at the state convention earlier this year. Cramer decided to run outside the convention system and challenge Kalk in the June 12 primary.

NRCC: The National Republican Congressional Committee announced that eight GOP House candidates reached Contender status, one step from earning top tier Young Guns status. The candidates are: Kim Vann CA-3, John Tavaglione CA-41, Joe Coors CO-7, Ben Lange IA-1, John Archer IA-2, Dan Dolan IA-2, David Rouzer NC-7, and Maggie Brooks NY-25.

SC-7: Former Lt. Governor Andre Bauer and Horry County Council Chair Tom Rice lead in the race for the Republican nomination for the new 7th Congressional District seat according to a new poll commissioned by Francis Marion University and SCNOW.com. Bauer leads the nine person field of Republican candidates with 22 percent of voters polled, followed by Rice with 21 percent. Chad Prosser is third with 8 percent. 35 percent of those polled said they were still undecided.

Redistricting

New York: A Judge has denied a Democratic attempt for an injuction against the Republican drawn State Senate map. Elections for the State Senate and State Assembly will go forward under the recently passed lines.

SCRep :: Political Roundup For May 18, 2012
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WI recall
Ds claim their internal polling has the race tied.
Tate said two noteworthy things: the party's internal polling shows the race tied; and Dems are expecting a big influx of money for spending on ads, where Walker has swamped the opposition.

"We feel pretty good about where we're at now," Tate said. "The numbers we're seeing internally show this race tied."

http://www.washingtonpost.com/...

By the way, does anyone remember the D internal polls late in 2010 that had Feingold/Johnson tied? Anyway they didn't release here any numbers.

26, Male, R, NY-10


Typical dem playbook
Here's the memo Democrats released in 2010 weeks before the election showing the governor's race tied.

http://wispolitics.com/1006/10...

Walker/Martinez 2016


[ Parent ]
If Dem Internals Have It "Tied"...
...then independent polling has this race nailed, and Walker's ahead by 6-8%.

I will love it if Walker can win this by 10!!  :)  


[ Parent ]
Hippies Protesting Nato throw feces
at a worker at the Chicago Board of Trade. Also, several more protestors were arrested for filling water bottles with gasoline. This news comes from a police blog called second city cop. It was awarded the best Chicagoland blog in 2011. It's the top article titled "Breaking News (Updated)". The lame stream media in Chicago refuses to paint a narrative how some of the protestors are out of control Occupy Wall Street Anarchists. I hope things don't get out of control this weekend.

http://secondcitycop.blogspot....

27, IL-7, Fiscal Conservative


I hope they do get out of control
Every time the left goes crazy like this, Republicans gain more votes.

[ Parent ]
"Some of the protesters" is right.
I actually was at a protest this afternoon (just watching, not protesting. I have no problem with NATO), and it was mostly nurses and teacher's unions. There were some nutjobs, but that's kind of like calling the racists at tea party rallies representative.

Most of the freaks there were communist cultists (you guys know Bob Avakian, right?) and anarchists. If you talk to anarchists a bit you'll figure out that they hate liberals, socialists and conservatives all alike.  


[ Parent ]
Wait! Bob Avakian is *Still* Around?!! (nt)


[ Parent ]
Yup. He personally wasn't there, but there were like
5-10 people with BAsics shirts handing out his lit.

[ Parent ]
Kansas redistricting
http://www.kansascity.com/2012...

Only way to explain why senate RINOs won't pass even a good congressional map is that they are indeed Democrats in disguise.

26, Male, R, NY-10


The chief judge of the court
is Kathryn Vratil. I'm not sure but I think she may be related to Moderate State Sen. John Vratil. If so we're probably screwed regardless.

R - MD-7

[ Parent ]
That could be one reason
SOS is filing or has asked Federal judges to intervene.

CD map really is a nonevent.  On the state senate side a map that added several or even three D seats would be likely see 5-6 moderate Rs drawn out.  So a D map might actually cull out a few GOP moderates.

I usually defer on intramural battles but the GOP moderates have gone too far in CD map struggle.  


[ Parent ]
The chief judge of the Federal Court I mean
nt

R - MD-7

[ Parent ]
No mention
anywhere of any relation as chief judge for Kansas district, state and district is one, if she was closely related to a state senator.  She would likely pass on redistricting matters.  

[ Parent ]
If this plan passes
KS 1: 63.6% McCain 34.6% Obama
KS 2: 55.7% McCain 42.3% Obama
KS 3: 49.9% McCain 48.8% Obama
KS 4: 58.3% McCain 39.8% Obama

These are about as accurate as I could get.

This is a good map and should be passed.

Here is the link to the maps
http://www2.ljworld.com/news/2...

27, IL-7, Fiscal Conservative


[ Parent ]
KS-03
if that is true, is unacceptable to me.

We can do so much better in KS.  

22, Conservative, NC-02 (SC-04 college) LUKE 18:5 is the official GOTV verse for 2014! -    


[ Parent ]
The old KS 3
voted for Obama 51-48 according to DKE, so that is a marked improvement.
Old KS 1: 69 McCain 30 Obama
Old KS 2: 55 McCain 43 Obama
Old KS 4: 58 McCain 40 Obama

Unless you want to go wild with gerrymandering, which may provoke a constitution amendment to make an independent panel draw districts, this is a good map.  

27, IL-7, Fiscal Conservative


[ Parent ]
I can live with this map as
the two critical seats in KS are either the same or improved.  I would like KS2 to be improved but seeing KS3 improved would be better then status quo.  

[ Parent ]
KS 2 and KS 3
Are both improved a little in this map. Not a ton, but enough to make a difference in horrible Rep years like 06' and 08'.

27, IL-7, Fiscal Conservative

[ Parent ]
agreed
It would improve both these seats enough that I wouldn't want to roll the dice with a court map.

42 Male Republican, Maryland Heights, MO (MO-2). Previously lived in both Memphis and Nashville.

[ Parent ]
This Is The Best Looking Plan Yet
At least, aesthetically.

I hope this one passes.

(This either keeps KS-02 at R+9, or makes it R+10, right? That's pretty good. Meanwhile, KS-03 is about R+4... Yeah, this is good stuff.)  


[ Parent ]
duel purpose plan
Obviously the Kansas House would prefer that the Kansas senate pass this map. But if the senate doesn't, the House is likely to submit this map as their preferred map to the court that takes over redistricting.

42 Male Republican, Maryland Heights, MO (MO-2). Previously lived in both Memphis and Nashville.

[ Parent ]
Yes, That's My Understanding of That's Why They're Passing This (nt)


[ Parent ]
need a mid-decade redistricting here
NT.

27, R, PA-07.

[ Parent ]
Same Ras poll
Mitt only up 14 in NE.
http://www.rasmussenreports.co...
Though, Ras continues with their stupid 6% for "some other candidate".

26, Male, R, NY-10

I think this is Romney's first ad,
but not sure.

http://www.youtube.com/watch?f...

22, Conservative, NC-02 (SC-04 college) LUKE 18:5 is the official GOTV verse for 2014! -    


not airing in Florida
Interesting.

27, R, PA-07.

[ Parent ]
I thought that too.
IA over FL.

Either He's up atm and they're not to worried, or Obama is up more there than IA, and they're getting closer IA before moving on.  

22, Conservative, NC-02 (SC-04 college) LUKE 18:5 is the official GOTV verse for 2014! -    


[ Parent ]
Very good numbers
And when you add the super PACs even those that only spend on the house it looks good on the cash front.

26, Male, R, NY-10

[ Parent ]
Daily PA Political Corruption Update: Supreme Court Justice to be charged
http://triblive.com/news/18206...

There must be something about Supreme Court justices from Allegheny County. Rolf Larsen was impeached for being convicted of criminal conspiracy back in 1994.

She should resign ASAP.

28, Republican, PA-6


She refuses to resign though
She believes she's innocent. Since she recused herself from many court activities, will Corbett appoint a temporary judge in her place?  

[ Parent ]
Morning Thoughts
Americans Elect: I thought that this was lame from the beginning, and now there's confirmation.

AZ-08: I'm flashing back to the nearly meaningless PA-12 special election.

KY-04: I happen to think that all of these candidates are good, but I'll take me some Webb-Edgington, please.

ND-AL: Kramer got some exposure in a National Review article about the North Dakota oil boom a few weeks ago.

New York Redistricting: I was never vert worried.

21, Male, Conservative Republican, TN-08 (home), VA-01 (college)


meaningless?
Meaningless nationwide, sure, but Critz won that district in November as well after winning the special.

27, R, PA-07.

[ Parent ]
I meant nationwide.
The parties are using it as a test case, but it may not serve them well as one.

21, Male, Conservative Republican, TN-08 (home), VA-01 (college)

[ Parent ]
I thought you meant nationwide too
The PA-12 special in 2010 was wrongly used as a test case for November. Political analysts started to rethink their predictions for big Republican gains in November based on that race. I remember hearing things like "if Republicans can't win a seat that McCain won, it's hard to see how they pick up seats that Obama won" and things like that. In the end, it meant absolutely nothing as a nationwide test case for November. I'm not sure how much the AZ race will act as one either.

42, R, NE-1.

[ Parent ]
If Ds win AZ-8
It has mostly to do with Giffords being shot. That it's even close is testament of the toxicity of Ds in AZ.

26, Male, R, NY-10

[ Parent ]
AZ-8
How close do you think it will be? I've heard GOP nominee Jesse Kelly is a subpar candidate. I think people are assuming that if he loses, then Martha McSally will have a good opportunity to be the nominee in November and will be a better candidate for the general election.

[ Parent ]
Both sides say that internals are close


26, Male, R, NY-10

[ Parent ]
He's Improved, This Time
I guess some might say that Kelly's better this time because he's sold out to the national party (and its consultants).

But from why I'm getting Kelly is running a much better campaign this time.

I think that's actually why it's close.  


[ Parent ]
Hardly meaningless
It put Critz on the path to knocking off the best statewide Democratic candidate out of western Pennsylvania.

28, Republican, PA-6

[ Parent ]
In terms of a national dry run, it didn't mean much.
I visited the DCCC in August 2010, and they were harping on their victory and milking it for all it was worth. They were scrambling for anything. Their victory in the PA-12 special was not a good dry run for them. It was basically a false positive for them and a false negative for the NRCC.

21, Male, Conservative Republican, TN-08 (home), VA-01 (college)

[ Parent ]
Agree
In many respects, the only special election that mattered in 2010 was the US Senate race in Massachusetts.

28, Republican, PA-6

[ Parent ]
You can even argue that CA-10 in 2009 was predicative
That Garamendi was held to 55% in a D+11 district was a harbinger of things to come.

[ Parent ]
ND-Sen: Alright, I'll stop my worrying about this race.


21, Male, Conservative Republican, TN-08 (home), VA-01 (college)

Obama adviser is backing Rothman over pascrell
http://www.washingtonpost.com/...

Heh. 2008 by proxy.

27, R, PA-07.


Rothman is engaging in some cheap shots too
[ Parent ]
CNN talks about Obama's math problem in NC
http://www.cnn.com/2012/05/18/...

22, Conservative, NC-02 (SC-04 college) LUKE 18:5 is the official GOTV verse for 2014! -    

Lol at the Legislative Black Caucus Chairwoman
She said that she thought that Mitt Romney was contradicting himself on Amendment One and his gay marriage stance because she heard that Mormonism allows polygamy.

21, Male, Conservative Republican, TN-08 (home), VA-01 (college)

[ Parent ]
Facepalm
Wow...  

28, Republican, PA-6

[ Parent ]
An unusual quote
usually an article won't include a quote that ridiculous, as it has no basis in fact, opinion, nor will it change in the future. When they do include it, they comment on it. They didn't do that here.

I think the gay marriage people will be excited to hear Mormons are going to move their way now.

R, CA-37; hometown: PA-2


[ Parent ]
MN GOP state convention
is underway.  Parking is Saint Cloud is a complete nightmare right now.  Delegates are having to run out and feed the meters.  Some had to park all the way down in Becker and carpool up.

Anyways the rules decisions and bickering is done.  Senate business is starting now.

Some no name guy (Carney?) gets five minutes to speak.  Then Hegseth, Bills, and Severson get twenty minutes.  Then voting.

Saint Paul (MN-4)  


So St Cloud can expect a large flood of parking ticket income?
from expired meters

42 Male Republican, Maryland Heights, MO (MO-2). Previously lived in both Memphis and Nashville.

[ Parent ]
No Wonder Cities Like Political Conventions!! ;) (nt)


[ Parent ]
Bills and Hegseth
both give very inspiring speeches.  Both receive standing ovations from the entire crowd.

Bills emphasizes economics, getting people to look past Klobuchar's perceived niceness, and his many legislative endorsements.  

Hegseth emphasizes his military leadership, family, and fundraising ability.

Both really fired up the crowd, especially Hegseth as he took a huge jab at getting out of the UN (very popular in MN).

Severson is last but I'd say this will come down really closely between Hegseth and Bills.  

Saint Paul (MN-4)  


[ Parent ]
Severson begins
with how he pushed the gay marriage amendment that will be on the ballot this year.

facepalm

Saint Paul (MN-4)  


[ Parent ]
For those facile in the California Primary
Here's a fun contest:

Totally awesome Nooner subscribers-

With just over two weeks to go before California's first "top-two" primary with newly redistricted districts, it's time for the best and brightest in California's politics to make their election picks.

The contest will reward the top three participants:
- First place: $100 Amazon gift certificate
- Second place: $50 Amazon gift certificate
- Third place: $25 Amazon gift certificate

You can complete the 57 questions at any time until 8pm Tuesday, and your answers will be saved to this unique web link. So, take your time over the weekend and keep the unique URL cited below

Don't hesitate to bug me with any questions that come up!
 -Scott

Here is your unique contest link:
http://www.aroundthecapitol.co...

An anti-public union, market-loving moderate.


Wow
It's as if this is the contest I've been working towards for the last year. They are asking for many, but not all, of the races. I can only guess that they included districts where the first place finisher is unknown.

CA-44 has only two candidates, so it's a coin toss. There are other districts where #1 is known, while #2 is not. They've excluded those. I suppose that makes more sense, because CA-28 has a gimme and this one doesn't.  

R, CA-37; hometown: PA-2


[ Parent ]
Why do I get someone else's email address?
When I go to the link.

R, CA-37; hometown: PA-2

[ Parent ]
Remove the "uid=yadayada" at the end of the URL
UID = userID, which is specific to the user in question.

Some of my best friends call me a "Demoncrat"

[ Parent ]
FL-SEN Weldon running
FL-Senate, Weldon's In
http://atr.rollcall.com/florid...
Thoughts? I don't know how this impacts the race. I'm guessing his entrance hurts Mack the most because Weldon was a House member and Mack currently is one.

Can we give birthers some legitimacy now please?
http://hotair.com/archives/201...

I think it's ridiculous that we are so closed minded that we cannot at least consider the possibility that our president wasn't born in Hawaii. His Birth Certificate has errors, and now mysteriously his book publisher "made a mistake" and wrote that he was born in Kenya...could be coincidence. Doesn't matter because we are so closed minded no one will bother to investigate. I'm not going to side one way or the other. I just wanted to point out this article and state that I think the publisher's response is VERY suspect.


Seriously? Don't go there
Don't get this ridiculous stuff started here. It is just sheer madness and serves NO PURPOSE WHATSOEVER except to distract us from the real issues. Obama has proven himself to be a failure as president and there is so much to attack him on there, and you want to chase this? Obama was born in Hawaii, bottom line. Accept it and move on and talk about things that really matter.

42, R, NE-1.

[ Parent ]
What's to investigate?
There's no plausible reason that his mother, a pregnant teenager, would travel to Kenya to give birth. In those days flying wasn't nearly as common or inexpensive. The average middle class person rarely did it.

There were notices in the two local newspapers announcing his birth.

Even if there were any evidence at all to show he was born in Kenya his mother was an American citizen. That automatically makes him a natural born citizen according to the Supreme Court. John McCain wasn't born in the United States. Yet he somehow still ran.

R, CA-37; hometown: PA-2


[ Parent ]
Exactly
Obama could have been born on Mars to a Marsian father, but he would be an American citizen as his mother was an American citizen at the time of his birth.

28, Republican, PA-6

[ Parent ]
Thanks, Ryan
It's not going to go viral that Obama is actually half space alien. Does this come from high cheekbones?

R, CA-37; hometown: PA-2

[ Parent ]
And you are not going to side on way or the other?
Uh, you made your side clearly known. The one thing I really can't stand on this issue is the people who wink and nod at full-blown birtherism and claim that they don't have a side, they are just asking questions. The closed minded ones are the ones who refuse to accept the clear and convincing evidence that the president was born in Hawaii. Again, accept it and move on and focus on real issues.

42, R, NE-1.

[ Parent ]
If the GOP knows whats good for them they won't
His book publisher also said his dad was the Kenyan Finance Minister and that just isn't true. This is a case of did not do the research, not some great conspiracy.

I agree with GoBigRedState, if the GOP are sensible they will focus on things like the economy or healthcare, if they make the election about Obama's birth certificate they will lose badly, because focusing on Obama's citizenship seems not just wrong, but out of touch with peoples problems.

17, Scotland, Left winger


[ Parent ]
no. n/t


22, Conservative, NC-02 (SC-04 college) LUKE 18:5 is the official GOTV verse for 2014! -    

[ Parent ]
What is there to investigate?
If you are looking at it from a constitutional perspective, the constitution empowers the state to verify that someone running for president was born in its state. Hawaii did this. Whether or not he was born in HI is now irrelevant. Obama passed the constitutional test when Governor Lingle approved his birth certificate.

Furthermore, say someone looks into it and finds something questionable, it certainly won't be proven by November and it hurts the GOP, when we have an advantage on the issues that matter. The media would continually paint the GOP as not being serious, racist, etc...is that what you want? I prefer a campaign about the role of government, taxes, and other issues that relate to the economy.

29/Male/Married/Father of One/Republican/CA-3


[ Parent ]
Birtherism is a wish fullfillment fantasy by some conservative
They are so disatisfied with the poor job Obama has done as president that they wish that he was born some place else. As in if only Obama was born in Kenya maybe we could have a competent President of the United States.
However I do think this dust jacket does raise the question of if Obama was embelishing his backround to help his book sales. Its much more exotic for him to have been born in Kenya and that could help books. Although IMHO he should have followed Elizabeth Warren's path and just claimed he was a Native American.

[ Parent ]
If Obama were disqualified
There's no mechanism for removing him from office, only disqualifying him from running. Even if he were disqualified, this'd give us... President Biden!!! Somehow Obama seems more competent since before I started this reply.

R, CA-37; hometown: PA-2

[ Parent ]
That's why its a wish fullfillment fantasy!
They wish he was born in ineligible to serve so someone ekse would have run in 2008 & lost. Its the same psychosis that afflicted Dems after they lost the 2000 recount and refused to accept Bush's legitamacy as President.  

[ Parent ]
although to be fair
any election that comes within, say, 1000 votes could've gone either way in reality.

WA-Gov 2004, MN-Sen 2008, and US-Prez 2000 all were possibly won by either side.  There are always errors.  Nonetheless, the people who think any of this is clearly a conspiracy are ridiculous; we don't know and never will, democracy is imperfect, and that's just how it is.

Age 21, CA-18 (home), CA-13 (college)
politicohen.com.
Idiosyncratic, pro-establishment. Liberal but not progressive.  For the poor, the children, the planet, and the rule of law.

Berkeley Class of 2015.


[ Parent ]
That's true, but...
He's not speaking to how different counting methods would produce different results. The easiest way to win an argument is to have your opponent not make one.

To say Bush cheated in Florida or Ohio in 2004, or Obama isn't a citizen ends any discussion right there. It's comforting to have certainty that you are right and they are wrong.

R, CA-37; hometown: PA-2


[ Parent ]
yeah I agree with that
it's a psychology thing.  Liberals didn't understand how anyone could vote for Bush, conservatives don't get how anyone could vote for Obama.

Age 21, CA-18 (home), CA-13 (college)
politicohen.com.
Idiosyncratic, pro-establishment. Liberal but not progressive.  For the poor, the children, the planet, and the rule of law.

Berkeley Class of 2015.


[ Parent ]
Is this sort of comment considered acceptable now?


(-10.00, -3.49), libertarian socialist, "When smashing monuments, save the pedestals. They always come in handy."



-- Stanisław Lem


[ Parent ]
Nope...
This kind of commentary is not tolerated.

28, Republican, PA-6

[ Parent ]
The pamphlet is being used for another purpose
To show how poorly Obama was vetted in 2007 and 2008. Seriously, no one thought to look his professional listings?

Better it's used as a slam on the media than for the truth of the matter, which is that Obama was born in Hawaii and we look like fools for suggesting otherwise.

What irks me most about your post is that the response can be very suspect -- this person may be covering up for Obama himself trying to seem more exotic than he actually was -- without jumping to the conclusion that he was born in Kenya, which we know to be false.

34, R, CO-1 (Degette)


[ Parent ]
exactly
He's an American citizen, period. This little kerfuffle is just another example of how he becomes whatever he needs to become to get what he wants, with the truth being an afterthought. He wants to be a liberal State Senator? Go to Rev. Wright's church. He runs for Prez? "Oh, I never listened to Rev. Wright". He wants to sell books and seem more exotic? "Yeah, fine I was born in Kenya, cool...awesome." He wants to be Prez? "Hahahaha, no that's just a mistake." Just weird that he can change facts with a grin and a wave...

[ Parent ]
This is entirely unacceptable
We're suspending you for a week, and the reason we're not banning you entirely is because you've been an otherwise positive contributor and we can accept that this was an honest mistake, so long as it never happens again.

Let this be a warning to everyone else: birtherism is stupid and ridiculous, and this is not the place to talk about it.


[ Parent ]
MA-Sen: Warren plagiarized her recipes to the Pow Wow Chow cookbook!
You cant make this stuff up. Apparently two of the recipes Elizabeth Warren submitted in 1984 to the cookbook "Pow Wow Chow: A Collection of Recipes from Families of the Five Civilized Tribes: Cherokee, Chickasaw, Choctaw, Creek & Seminole." were plagiarized from an earlier article written by written by Pierre Franey. The recipies in question were not a Cherokee family recipe that the Warren family past down through generations but rather a dish that originated at Le Pavilion, a fabulously expensive French restaurant in Manhattan!
Read it here:

http://www.breitbart.com/Big-G...


Lizard Warren
Considering how slimy she is, can we just call her "lizard" instead of Liz?

Anyway, HAHAHAHAHAHAHA.

From IL-09, Living in PA-07.

Carl DeMaio for CA-52!


[ Parent ]
Reviews
http://www.amazon.com/Pow-Wow-...

Some are insulting but many are very funny

R, CA-37; hometown: PA-2


[ Parent ]
So far my favorite review is...
"I had no idea that Velveeta was so popular with the Cherokee Tribe"

[ Parent ]
Wow
I knew the Leftroots was dead wrong, and that Warren was a terrible candidate to go with, but even I am awestruck at how truly terrible she's turned out to be.

It's almost as if she's trying to antagonize working class MA voters!

Just imagine if the Dems had run Stephen Lynch, instead - I bet the Dems would be up 10% by this point...  


[ Parent ]
She can still drop out
So did McInnis after plagiarism accusations. Though that was more serious.  

26, Male, R, NY-10

[ Parent ]
Lynch
would lose a lot of socially liberal moderates.

The Rockefeller R towns would swing back; it'd basically be Weld-Silber again in terms of the map.  I'd expect the Green Party to get 5% as well.  I'm not sure Lynch would've been better; I think the best Dem nominee would've been Capuano or Neal.

Age 21, CA-18 (home), CA-13 (college)
politicohen.com.
Idiosyncratic, pro-establishment. Liberal but not progressive.  For the poor, the children, the planet, and the rule of law.

Berkeley Class of 2015.


[ Parent ]
I Am Wholly Unconvinced
I know a number of the MA natives have said that Lynch would lose the latte towns, but I don't think so.

This gets back to my CA argument - in CA, the voters are ultimately partisan, so a pro-life Dem would beat a pro-choice Republican out here.

That may be somewhat less true in MA, but I doubt it's much less true.

IOW, I suspect the latte types would ultimately pull the lever for whoever had the "(D)" after their name. Even if it were Lynch...  


[ Parent ]
I'm not sure you're right
Look at Gov in 2006.  Over 55% of the state will vote for a pro choice Republican (granted that Arnold is really right in between the parties more than being a real Republican, but he sure isn't a Democrat) under the right circumstances.  And that was with two pro choice candidates.  I agree that California won't vote for a pro life Republican as it stands now.  But I think a pro choice one could beat a pro life Dem (do we even have any of those?)

Age 21, CA-18 (home), CA-13 (college)
politicohen.com.
Idiosyncratic, pro-establishment. Liberal but not progressive.  For the poor, the children, the planet, and the rule of law.

Berkeley Class of 2015.


[ Parent ]
Gubernatorial vs Senatorial
Different elections. Wouldn't that matter quite a bit?  

[ Parent ]
In Both Blue States and Red States, It Absolutely Does
The pattern is quite clear - most states are willing to elect "opposite partisan" Governors, but almost never "opposite partisan" Senators for the 'hard' Blue and Red States.

A really good example of that is Maryland. Also, Wyoming.
Of course, Massachusetts was also a good example of that, until recently...  ;)  


[ Parent ]
didn't
realize you were referring to senate only.  then we agree.

Age 21, CA-18 (home), CA-13 (college)
politicohen.com.
Idiosyncratic, pro-establishment. Liberal but not progressive.  For the poor, the children, the planet, and the rule of law.

Berkeley Class of 2015.


[ Parent ]
Actually, In CA, I'm Pretty Much Referring To Both
Arnie was a total aberration, which I don't think will ever happen again (at least, not any time soon...).

But my CA analogy definitely goes double for Senate races.  


[ Parent ]
Maryland
isn't willing to elect a Republican anything. It deeply pains me to say it, but Ehrlich was very much a fluke.

R - MD-7

[ Parent ]
Costa/Cardoza?
I think either or both might be at least nominally pro-life.

R - MD-7

[ Parent ]
no.


Age 21, CA-18 (home), CA-13 (college)
politicohen.com.
Idiosyncratic, pro-establishment. Liberal but not progressive.  For the poor, the children, the planet, and the rule of law.

Berkeley Class of 2015.


[ Parent ]
Lynch would win the white liberals
I've always said he would be the strongest candidate Dems could run, as he entirely undercuts Brown's base of support. Many of the towns Weld won against Silber are now straight-ticket Dem.

Lynch's problem is that he can't make it through a primary. The women's groups and unions would throw a fit and rally behind someone else, perhaps Niki Tsongas, Kim Driscoll, or even Coakley. The only way Lynch gets the nomination is if every power broker in the state--from Menino to Patrick to the Kennedys and even Obama--muscles up and clears the field for him.


[ Parent ]
Another 1 or 2 stories
And I will call her a "fraud".  

26, Male, R, NY-10

[ Parent ]
Warren should drop out...
If Scott McInnis was forced out for plagiarism, so should Warren.

[ Parent ]
Elizabeth "makes Coakley look like Kennedy" Warren
How on earth does PPP justify including this woman in their 2016 Democratic primary polls?

24, MA-07, Rockefeller Republican. Visit me at http://twitter.com/polibeast

[ Parent ]
Yes
This woman should be investigated by the body that regulates lawyers where she is licensed.  She seems to have a habit of lying that makes your standard politican look honest.

28, Republican, PA-6

[ Parent ]
Copyrights don't apply to cooking recipies
U.S. copyright law addresses recipes, but what holds sway can be called either ethics or etiquette. Cooking is not considered inventing; rather, it evolves. Copyright law specifies that "substantial literary expression in the form of an explanation or directions," such as a cookbook, can be copyrighted but that a mere list of ingredients cannot receive that protection.

ref http://www.washingtonpost.com/...

Some of my best friends call me a "Demoncrat"


[ Parent ]
Cool. I Encourage Warren To Cut an Ad on This...
Warren, looking straight into the camera, solemnly:

"My opponent is trying to bring up the fact that I used someone else's recipes in the "Pow Wow Cookbook". But, in fact, recipes aren't covered under copyright law, so I did nothing illegal!..."

Yeah, that should get her a couple of points at the polls...  ;p  


[ Parent ]
This is interesting
But what does it have to do with the topic? Warren isn't being accused of an intellectual property tort, but of plagiarism. Is this a half-hearted effort to rise to her defense?  

34, R, CO-1 (Degette)

[ Parent ]
right
You don't have to break copyright law to appear to be fraud.  You don't have to break any law.  Coakley broke no laws and still was hammered.  
By the way, Shilling's getting pounded up here because of his video game company and investment from Rhode Island.  Looks like any hope of a political career is fading fast.  The Globe just loves making him look bad...

[ Parent ]
Good
http://www.philly.com/philly/b...

It is always good to see the "economic development" efforts of government fail.  There was a reason private equity would not get involved.  If you cannot find someone in private equity to help you, the enterprise has no chance.  I know as I work with private equity guys and banks on a daily basis.

28, Republican, PA-6


[ Parent ]
Its BS
Sadly Lying Liz cannot get sued over it the court of law, but in the court of public opinion she is going to have to find a better excuse when she sues for mercy as she is guilty can be here.

In the smoke filled rooms of the Massachusetts Democratic Party headquarters the good old boys are enjoying her flail and their power to be soon restored when they push her out of the way for someone else.  When that happens, the machine will get stronger and the national progressive movement will throw a hissy fit.

28, Republican, PA-6


[ Parent ]
It's not a copywrite issue, its a fauxahontas issue
Warren stole a recipie from a fancy NY resturant that was "a great favorite of the Duke and Duchess of Windsor" and tried to pass it off as a Warren family recipie passed down through generations from her fake Cherokee ancestors!  

[ Parent ]
Maybe she's 1/32 Saxe-Coburg and Gotha/Windsor too
n/t

[ Parent ]
General follow-up
First, I understand this is an R site, and it's important for you to brainstorm narratives that help Rs.

But if attacked on this, I believe that Warren can group herself with grandmothers everywhere who write down and copy their recipes for their families, charities who collect them together, cooks who add their own flair, etc.  

Some of my best friends call me a "Demoncrat"


[ Parent ]
Dude, She *Published* It In a Book...
...and then claimed it was a family recipe.

It's not like she gave her recipe to a few friends.

This, combined with the Native American thing, definitely paints a picture of a deliberate fibber and a self-aggrandizer...  


[ Parent ]
Exactly
Use anyone's recipes you want, but don't take them from a restaurant and pass them off as old family Cherokee recipes.

Elizabeth Warren's problem isn't that she falsely listed herself as Native American for years. She could've diffused that the first day by admitting she did so because it's what her parents always told her and stopped when she realized it was untrue. She regrets it now. She wasn't aware that Harvard listed her a minority and she doesn't occupy a position set aside for a minority.

Done and over with.

Instead she talked about how proud she was of her heritage, her paw paw's cheekbones, and professors to acknowledge her teaching skill. She's gone from a lame defense of something false to an attack that's irrelevant to the situation. Sure, Martha Coakley was a gaffe-fest, but she didn't spend three weeks insisting Curt Schilling was a Yankee.

Warren is running a great campaign... to be a consumer advocate. That's not how you run for the senate. These neophytes don't get that.

R, CA-37; hometown: PA-2


[ Parent ]
Veep vetting.
http://thehill.com/homenews/ca...

22, Conservative, NC-02 (SC-04 college) LUKE 18:5 is the official GOTV verse for 2014! -    

Awkward situation
I'm in a class and the substitute teacher is talking about the Ricketts family wanting to start an anti-Obama Super Pac and is blasting the family for trying to change the political landscape using so much corporate and family money. He's blasting the impacts of super pacs electorally (this IS electorally relevant).

Why is this awkward?

Tom Ricketts's son is sitting right in front of me, two feet away from this computer.

From IL-09, Living in PA-07.

Carl DeMaio for CA-52!


His Grandpa Joe
Really goofed up his dad's plans of getting public money to finance their private stadium renovations. I'm actually glad he goofed, because public money going to a private business when the city is bankrupt because of city pensions and the CPS is bankrupt due to 250k people fleeing for the suburbs is ridiculous.

27, IL-7, Fiscal Conservative

[ Parent ]
I guess things have changed
I had a wonderful political science teacher in high school. I went to lefty NYU and minored in political science. I only took five classes but in four of them the professors were never so blatantly political. The fifth was taught by Bertell Ollman, well known for his Marxist writings. You took Ollman because you wanted blatantly political.

R, CA-37; hometown: PA-2

[ Parent ]
it really depends who you get
The Poli Sci department here is 20:1 Democrats (shocking, I know), but for the most part their classes aren't very partisan.  I had a professor last semester who was a communist, and she only showed her leanings once or twice, and even then only in brief comments.

Age 21, CA-18 (home), CA-13 (college)
politicohen.com.
Idiosyncratic, pro-establishment. Liberal but not progressive.  For the poor, the children, the planet, and the rule of law.

Berkeley Class of 2015.


[ Parent ]
Teaching students about elections
I'm glad that the teacher is just a substitute. My AP Gov teacher, a Republican, was much more neutral when talking about elections (thorough I got to teach most of that section myself).

21, Male, Conservative Republican, TN-08 (home), VA-01 (college)

[ Parent ]
It'll Be Interesting To See Who Wins The Byelection... (nt)


[ Parent ]
Agreed
It will be interesting to see if the NDP improve their numbers here substantially.  If the NDP eats too much of the Liberal vote, the Tories might win this one with ease.  We might also see a Liberal collapse with the vote splitting in both directions.

28, Republican, PA-6

[ Parent ]
Chicago Cop's thoughts on NATO Protestors
Via the tribune: http://www.chicagotribune.com/...

After a few moments, the officers handed the man his whistle back, which he promptly began blowing.Asked why he returned the whistle, the officer who did not want to be identified, said it wasn't worth the hassle.
"There's so many liberals around here, I'm not gonna get into trouble over a whistle."

Good to know the CPD are on our side.  

27, IL-7, Fiscal Conservative


I think that we knew that already, but I like confirmation.
Chicago's cop/firefighter neighborhood, in Ward 73, if memory serves, went for McCain.

21, Male, Conservative Republican, TN-08 (home), VA-01 (college)

[ Parent ]
There are only 50 wards
But the 19th ward on the far southwest side of the city is loaded with cops and firefighters and went for McCain. Also, the Bridgeport / Canaryville area near Sox park had a much higher McCain % as well. In addition, a few of of far northwest side neighborhoods were about 50/50 McCain. Hopefully, Romney will be able to expand on a few more precincts as Obama falls below 60% in Illinois this year.  

27, IL-7, Fiscal Conservative

[ Parent ]
Oops
That southwestern area is the ward that I was talking about. I don't know why I thought that Chicago had more than 50 wards. Why can't Republicans ever win Ward 19 on the Board of Aldermen?

21, Male, Conservative Republican, TN-08 (home), VA-01 (college)

[ Parent ]
Municipality elections in Illinois
Are non partisan so there are no parties. This ward is represented by a pro union low tax alderman. So similar to some Pennsylvania Republicans.  Basically this area is holding on for dear life since all Chicago neighborhoods to the east are a war zone. It definitely is a tough on crime no b.s. area.  

27, IL-7, Fiscal Conservative

[ Parent ]
The elections may be non-partisan,
but Wikipedia lists all of the Chicago Aldermen as Democrats. There was a Republican Alderman in the northwest, but he ran for state senate and lost in 2010.

21, Male, Conservative Republican, TN-08 (home), VA-01 (college)

[ Parent ]
The Protestor's victim mentality always amuses me
Clearly the Chicago PD is in cahoots with teh evil 1% in order to suppress their freedom of speech.  It has nothing to do with, you know, the fact that no one wants to hear someone blowing a shrill whistle for half an hour.

This sort of behavior is the reason the "Occupy" movements died out as quick as they came.  Whatever legitimate ideas were behind them are immediately discredited once the professional protestors take over, and proceed to make fools of themselves in front of the cameras.

23, Libertarian Republican CA-18
Liberals dream things that never were and ask why not.  Conservatives shout back "Because it won't work"


[ Parent ]
MN Convention first ballots :
Bills 1135 (53%)
Hegseth 450 (23%)
Severson 501 (21%)

Need 60% for the endorsement.  Under 20% drops out.

Second ballot coming up.

Saint Paul (MN-4)  


Correction
Hegseth has 21%, Severson has 23%.  Ballot totals are correct.

I was confident but not this optimistic.  Might only need two ballots.

Saint Paul (MN-4)  


[ Parent ]
NC state rep Alma Adams apologizes for Mormon marriage comment
Now Obama needs to apologize... http://politicalticker.blogs.c...

what's he supposed to apologize for?
did i miss something?

Age 21, CA-18 (home), CA-13 (college)
politicohen.com.
Idiosyncratic, pro-establishment. Liberal but not progressive.  For the poor, the children, the planet, and the rule of law.

Berkeley Class of 2015.


[ Parent ]
Why did Romney have to aplogize for Ricketts?


[ Parent ]
he shouldn't have had to
it had nothing to do with him.  He did it to make himself look better; Obama disavowing this would also make him look better, but it's not like he needs to.  It'd just be smart to.

Age 21, CA-18 (home), CA-13 (college)
politicohen.com.
Idiosyncratic, pro-establishment. Liberal but not progressive.  For the poor, the children, the planet, and the rule of law.

Berkeley Class of 2015.


[ Parent ]
You're right
Neither should have to. But if Romney didn't say anything the left wing media would still be bitching about it. But if a Obama supporter says something about Romney's religion it's considered an isolated incident.

[ Parent ]
Recall: Barrett Donor Gets No-bid Contract in Milwaukee
San Diego Updates
CA-52 - Peters is blanketing the airwaves now. His campaign signs also appeared all at once. I think I've now gotten a robo call from Iverson. (I may have gotten an earlier robocall from Stahl - I'm getting so many political calls now, that I'm losing track...)  
  Virtually no presence from Bilbray (I guess, as the incumbent, he's decided not to waste money on the 'jungle' primary?...) nor Saldana - just some smattering of campaign signs.
  Conclusion: I think there's no way Peters doesn't make the runoff now. Bilbray has to be prepared to dismantle Peters' BS "non-partisan problem solver" message: best way to do that is to tie Peters to the pension mess at City Hall when Peters was on the City Council. I look forward to Bilbray's ads to that effect in the Fall.

Sand Diego's Mayor's race: It's all DeMaio vs. Fletcher in the TV ads here.
  DeMaio's ads are doing a good job of painting Fletcher as a craven politician (his pounding Fletcher on his lack of attendance in the Assembly is particularly smart). Meanwhile, lots of GOP mailers paining Fletcher as the tool of the public employees unions - also smart.
  On Fletcher's end, he's taking swipes at both DeMaio and Filner for being "too conservative" and "too liberal", respectively. And he continues to peddle his "Independent problem-solver" BS. (In Fletcher's case, I find it particularly amusing, because he never says what he wants to do as Mayor (policy-wise). It really does sort of come off like a vanity campaign...)
  I can't figure out what Filner is doing - no ads, no mailers (though I might not be getting Filner mailers as a registered Republican), very few campaign signs.
  Dumanis only has campaign signs, but unlike Filner she seems to be smart enough to go on the local news shows for interviews, so at least she's getting herself some free air time.
  Conclusion: I think this goes to a DeMaio vs. Fletcher runoff. Then I despair, as I suspect Fletcher can hoodwink enough people in to voting for him to win. So I'm expecting YA another dud for San Diego mayor...  :(

The mailers for my City Council seat have been pretty good this year. Maybe this time we can actually elect a Republican to my local council seat?...  


San Diego
IJB, why in the world did Filner run?  Was he drawn out of the seat?  He seems to have been a non factor the entire race.

33/M/D/NY-01 DKE:Socks The Cat

[ Parent ]
I Have No Idea
Filner's campaign has been a mystery to me. He should be a shoo-in to get in to the runoff. But it seems like he's doing nothing to earn it, and people won't vote for you unless you campaign for their vote.

Maybe too many years in the House in a safe district has put him out of touch on how to run a campaign?...  


[ Parent ]
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