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Evening Political Roundup for January 2, 2013

by: shamlet

Wed Jan 02, 2013 at 16:00:00 PM EST


MA-Sen, MA-Gov: Brown needles Rep. Ed Markey (D-Bethesda Malden) on his residency status, and says Democrats are "making it awfully tempting" for him to run for the Senate again. Meanwhile at the Herald, conservative columnist Joe Battenfeld advocates a Brown run for Governor instead. 

SC-1: Haley officially schedules the special election to replace Sen-designate Tim Scott (R) for: March 19 - Primary, April 2 - Runoff, General - May 7. March 19 is probably the key date here, as some Republican will likely enter a runoff with ex-Gov Sanford, and then probably breeze past him and any D sacrificial lamb.

More SC-1: 2010 candidate and newly elected State Sen. Paul Thurmond (R-Charleston), son of Strom, will not run for Tim Scott's seat. Thurmond would have been a front-runner had he entered.

AR-Gov: Food Company Executive Curtis Coleman (R), who ran for Senate in 2010, has opened up a gubernatorial exploratory committee. Coleman is considered a very weak candidate.

NYC-Mayor: Council Speaker Christine Quinn (D) will keep police commissioner Ray Kelly on board if she is elected mayor. Her most prominent Dem rival, 2009 nominee Bill Thompson, has vowed to replace Kelly.

shamlet :: Evening Political Roundup for January 2, 2013
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Brown for Governor!
Please, Scott, stay away from that mess that is Washington DC and prepare yourself for a 2014 for the Governor's mansion. No good will come from losing against a Dem candidate in the Special Election - which I'm fairly certain he would.

German citizen - Conservative by heart, non native english speaker

Brown v. Markey would be a toss-up, but I generally agree
Throw Weld to the wolves and see how he holds up.

24, MA-07, Rockefeller Republican. Visit me at http://twitter.com/polibeast

[ Parent ]
At a minimum, Markey couldn't use Weld's NY residency against him
It would be interesting to how Markey holds up against a feisty Weld campaign after 40 years of running virtually unopposed. I don't think we'd win, but it would be fun.

[ Parent ]
The wonderful thing about Weld
is that you always know he's having fun. I could see them both being asked about residency at a debate: Markey hemming and hawing and getting all defensive and Weld making some sort of flippant quip about returning to Massachusetts because he can't swim in the East River like he can in the Charles.

Bottom line for me is that the combined odds of Brown winning the Governorship and/or Weld winning the Senate seat are significantly better than Brown winning the Senate seat and/or Baker winning the Governorship. And that's enough for me to want Brown to go for the Corner Office.

R - MD-7


[ Parent ]
The issue with the Senate Seat
Is whatever happens in 2013, I think there is a much lower chance of the GOP holding it in 2015 than the Corner Office. I can't but help think the response to a Brown win would be a draft Patrick movement, and then the Democrats ramp up a new scare campaign against the Washington GOP.

27 NH-01/London/MA-07

Centrist Foreign Policy Realist - Tory in the UK, RINO locally


[ Parent ]
Where does Ed Markey live?
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v...


R, CA-37; hometown: PA-2

[ Parent ]
Where does Ed Markey live?
Ed Markey lives in Malden, and has lived there his entire life. He and his wife own their home in Malden.

http://www.rollcall.com/news/t...

That settles it. He's no Dick Lugar.  

R, CA-37; hometown: PA-2


[ Parent ]
Repost
SC-1 Update
Talking to local GOP operatives and this seems to be the thinking right now for the March 19 primary-
Likelihood of top 2
1) Jenny or Mark Sanford
2) State Sen. Larry Grooms of Berkely County
3) State Reps Chip Limehouse or Peter McCoy
4) Rest Of Field

SC1-Charleston

Not too wild on Sandford
Mark that is, as I know very little about Jenny Sandford, other then the well-known facts that she's (a) his ex-wife and that (b) she supported Haley, but that's about it.

Sandford, however, has no business whatsoever running for that seat, in my opinion.  

German citizen - Conservative by heart, non native english speaker


[ Parent ]
Kirk
For Mark Kirk, there was no white light, no tunnel.

What Illinois' junior U.S. senator experienced was three angels standing at the foot of his bed.

"You want to come with us?" Kirk was asked.

"No," he told them. "I'll hold off."

The Highland Park Republican, who plans to return to the Senate when Congress convenes Thursday, recounted the story in his first in-depth interview since he suffered a massive stroke nearly a year ago.

http://www.dailyherald.com/art...

25, Male, R, NY-10


House GOP to meet tonight
According to Matthew Boyle (https://twitter.com/mboyle1): "COP caucusing from 5-7pm tonight. Topic: Future of House GOP leadership. Hear that Boehner may resign there"

I'd think that holding a Caucus meeting on the eve of a new session is pretty normal, non?

German citizen - Conservative by heart, non native english speaker


Heh
I know that guy. Interesting that you stumbled upon him.

From IL-09, Living in PA-07

[ Parent ]
Credit goes to HotAir
http://hotair.com/archives/201...

Update at the bottom ... I had never heard of him up to this point.

German citizen - Conservative by heart, non native english speaker


[ Parent ]
Whoops
I know a different Matthew Boyle who's really into GOP politics.

From IL-09, Living in PA-07

[ Parent ]
Stockman to vote against Boehner
Great way to start.
Landry of course is calling for Boehner's ouster. No complaints to him.

25, Male, R, NY-10

[ Parent ]
Ballsy for a yet-to-become-freshman
I don't see a scenario where conservative rebels would muster enough votes to oust Boehner. Their "only hope" is to get him to resign, saying the three famous words he uttered to Reid and take his hat and leave.

German citizen - Conservative by heart, non native english speaker

[ Parent ]
Stockman has always been a loose cannon
He was a thorn in most of the caucus' side during his first term. Landry has nothing to lose, and is trying to tap into anti-DC sentiment for his next bid in Louisiana.

If Boehner indeed runs for Speaker tomorrow, it will be interesting to see how many Stockmans there are, who they vote for, and if that person makes a challenge to Boehner later in the term, perhaps after sequestration plays out.


[ Parent ]
Boehner Office: "Made up"
https://twitter.com/JakeSherma...

German citizen - Conservative by heart, non native english speaker

[ Parent ]
Ron Meyer: Boehner to resign
https://twitter.com/RonMeyerJr

Again: I'd pay real money to be in this room right now.  

German citizen - Conservative by heart, non native english speaker


[ Parent ]
Sandy
"I was chasing the Speaker all over the House floor last night, trying to talk to him and his staff," King said on CNN on Wednesday morning. "He kept telling me, wait until the vote is over, wait until the fiscal cliff vote is over, everything will be taken care of. And then he was gone. He refused to meet with us. He actually yelled at Congressman LoBiondo, saying, 'I'm not meeting with you people.'"

LoBiondo spokesman Jason Galanes confirmed that King's account was "accurate."

http://www.huffingtonpost.com/...

Yeah, I've lost confidence in Boehner. Did Ds ever lose confidence in Pelosi during her reign? We need a replacement.

25, Male, R, NY-10


I can't blame Boehner
for telling King to sit tight and sh** up about Sandy while the fiscal cliff thing was still going on ...

German citizen - Conservative by heart, non native english speaker

[ Parent ]
Best line of the Sandy relief bill
$20,000 to buy a new car for the Department of Justice Inspector General

Who the hell come up with this stuff?

27, R, PA-07.


[ Parent ]
Kirk: There is no pork in Sandy Relief Bill
Suuuure thing, Peter ...

the most interesting part, imho, would be that Boehner allegedly "yelled" at LoBiondo. He himself said that he doesn't yell at people, that it's not his style. Propably a sign of times ...

German citizen - Conservative by heart, non native english speaker


[ Parent ]
Kirk or King?
nt

R - MD-7

[ Parent ]
Oh, for crying out loud ...
King ... not to self: Cut off the internet. Apologies (again).

German citizen - Conservative by heart, non native english speaker

[ Parent ]
No big deal
we all mix names up sometimes.

R - MD-7

[ Parent ]
Fitting
Al Jazeera Said to Be Acquiring Current TV
http://mediadecoder.blogs.nyti...

25, Male, R, NY-10

Fitting
NT

Baker '14
R, MA-3


[ Parent ]
I fail to see the difference
I thought Current TV already was Al Jazeera in English. Go figure.

R, CA-37; hometown: PA-2

[ Parent ]
More like hypocritical....
Al Gore, selling his network to a channel owned by the government of Qatar, whose wealth is based on oil.

Qatar, which has some of the stringent anti-gay laws in the region.


[ Parent ]
That plan did wonders for the Weimar Republic
Good to know our leaders want to lead us down that path. The sad part is with all this debt and kicking the can down the road that printing the trillion dollar coin might be the way things get resolved down the road. So get your wheel barrels ready because you might need them to carry the cash you'll need to buy a loaf of bread.

[ Parent ]
Brown's jab....
...makes me think he's going to take a shot at winning the Senate race. It won't be as easy as last time when he caught everyone napping.
BTW, the reporter's name is BattenFELD, not BattenFIELD.  

R/MA-9; hometown CT-2; lonely MSM conservative.

MN-Sen; Breaking News, Paulsen won't run
http://minnesota.publicradio.o...

I'm thinking with Pawlenty and now Paulsen out that Kline and Coleman will soon follow, thus leaving an opening fora self funder.  

29/Male/Married/Father of One/Republican/CA-3


Not breaking news
Not even news. Paulsen was never even considering a run.

From IL-09, Living in PA-07

[ Parent ]
no surprise
after his fiscal cliff vote.  One of the few very establishment R's to vote no.

Age 21, CA-18 (home), CA-13 (college)
politicohen.com.
Idiosyncratic, pro-establishment. Liberal but not progressive.  For the poor, the children, the planet, and the rule of law.

Berkeley Class of 2015.


[ Parent ]
He wasn't going to run
He is very risk averse. And Franken is generally popular after turning around his image early. I would be surprised if anyone of note runs against him unless something fundamentally changes with the way he is perceived locally.

I am a Tom Rukavina Democrat.

[ Parent ]
Collin Peterson is pissed
http://www.politico.com/story/...

Minnesota Rep. Collin Peterson, the top Democrat on the House Agriculture Committee, had warned the White House that it must tread carefully on the dairy and farm bills issues or risk a backlash. And Peterson didn't hide his anger with the administration for helping to roll Stabenow and the agriculture committees.
"Upset is an understatement," Peterson told POLITICO. "I'm not going to talk with those guys. I'm done with them for the next four years. They are on their own. They don't give a sh-it. about me, anyway."
"This is crazy, " Peterson said of the tax package itself. "The farm bill is one thing, but there's just no way I'm going to add $4 trillion to the deficit. ... We're not doing anything. We're making it worse."

Interesting. Maybe he hangs it up. I didn't think he was especially fiscally conservative.  

27, R, PA-07.


[ Parent ]
He is a budgetary pragmatist
But this is 99.9% about the agricultural bill. He may hang it up, or he may not. He is a tough one to read. And tempers are running hot all over Washington the last few days, so this may blow over.

I am a Tom Rukavina Democrat.

[ Parent ]
Read the update
A spokesman says Paulsen used the word in the context to the preface of the question that mentioned Paulsen's "no" vote on the fiscal cliff deal before asking whether he was running for Senate.

Still, doubt he's running for Senate

Male, LA-01

Cassidy, Rounds, Ernst, Handel, Land for Senate!  


[ Parent ]
Self-funder
Any ideas? I wonder if Brian Sullivan, who lost the 2002 Gov nod to T-Paw, would consider it?  

Male, LA-01

Cassidy, Rounds, Ernst, Handel, Land for Senate!  


[ Parent ]
IL GOP Chair for SSM
http://www.dailyherald.com/art...

From IL-09, Living in PA-07

Interesting
Is he socially liberal?  Or is this a sign of things moving on this issue?

33/M/D/NY-01 DKE:Socks The Cat

[ Parent ]
Who would become Lt Gov if Kinder goes to Congress?


[ Parent ]
Montee, in all likelihood
nt

R - MD-7

[ Parent ]
depends upon if its appointed or would be special election
If Nixon appoints someone, it's going to be a Democrat.

If a special election needs held, generic Republican favored.

42 Male Republican, Maryland Heights, MO (MO-2). Previously lived in both Memphis and Nashville.


[ Parent ]
Too R for him to lose
I want him gone. Isn't the party chair the frontrunner?  

25, Male, R, NY-10

[ Parent ]
Steelman too
I'd prefer her to Smith (hack) and Kinder (known issues, + don't wanna lose LG). Plus, she could use it to rehab her image and be a strong Gov candidate in 2016 when we don't have a clear frontrunner
http://www.semissourian.com/st...

Male, LA-01

Cassidy, Rounds, Ernst, Handel, Land for Senate!  


[ Parent ]
MA-Sen: Lynch "seriously considering" run
http://bostonherald.com/news_o...

24, MA-07, Rockefeller Republican. Visit me at http://twitter.com/polibeast

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