The House Republican Caucus, which formally re-elected John Boehner as Speaker several weeks ago, is holding a meeting tonight during which Boehner could be ousted from his post. The Twitterverse is buzzing that Boehner may not have the votes to survive a leadership challenge, although we've yet to hear anything definitive from any reliable source. Regardless, we'll be monitoring things closely tonight.
If Boehner survives tonight, tomorrow's swearing-in of the 113th Congress will become a must-watch event. The new Congress always begins with the Clerk of the House calling the roll, during which each Member announces their vote for Speaker. If enough Republicans defect from Boehner, he could fall short of the 218 votes needed for election--unless Democrats prop him up. Either way, Boehner would be in significant trouble.
If Boehner is out, he would most likely resign his seat in Congress, creating a vacancy in the deep red OH-08 in exurban Cincinnati. It's not too early to start thinking about a potential special election in that district.
Elections have consequences -- from the race for President to the race for one seat on a city council. The political economist Max Weber wrote that the state possesses a monopoly on the legitimate use of force. But in the United States, the state is divided into myriad federal, state, and local entities. And the elections to fill those entities are the products of the fascinating interactions between campaigns, party affiliations, voter turnout, and the media spotlight. Red Racing Horses analyzes those elections -- from a Republican-leaning perspective -- to keep a close eye on the process of electing officials, and to offer our perspective on the election-related issues of the day. Thank you for visiting, and we hope you'll enjoy the blog.
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