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Evening Political Roundup for January 3, 2013

by: shamlet

Thu Jan 03, 2013 at 16:00:00 PM EST


IL-Sen '16: Mark Kirk made his return to the Senate today, with an inspirational walk up the Capitol Steps.

MA-Sen: TV Psychyatrist Keith Ablow is considering a run - as a Republican. Ablow, of Newbury, is a Brown/JHMI grad, author of several best-selling books, and frequent Fox News contributor. This all is likely a moot point though as he sounds like he would defer to both Scott Brown and Bill Weld, one of whom is almost certain to run.

AZ-Gov: 2012 Senate candidate Richard Carmona (D) is considering a bid for Governor. Carmona would probably clear the Dem field if he ran, but face an uphill battle in the general election. There are a multitude of Republicans considering the race for possibly-term-limited-or-maybe-not Governor Jan Brewer's office.

PA-Gov: Montgomery County Commissioner Bruce Castor (R) is not wasting an opportunity to hit Gov. Tom Corbett over his lawsuit against the NCAA. Castor, who has been openly exploring a Corbett primary challenge, calls the suit "too little, too late."

NJ-Gov: Christie: $2.1M in 36 days, with no fundraisers. I think it's time to send some dough to the RGA and NJ State Legislators, Governor.

NYC-Mayor: Long-ago councilman Sal Albanese (D-Bay Ridge, Brooklyn), who left office in 1997, is running for Mayor. He is not expected to be a serious factor.

shamlet :: Evening Political Roundup for January 3, 2013
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Evening Political Roundup for January 3, 2013 | 26 comments
Minnesota Legislature, Part II
a good article both explaining the complex relationship between different factions of the DFL, and differences in style as well

http://www.minnpost.com/politi...

I am a Tom Rukavina Democrat.

interesting
Minnesota is pretty unique in that it rural areas don't vote like most rural areas in the US vote.  

26, R, PA-01.



[ Parent ]
Very true
And I have come up with about 3 reasons why based on a lifetime of experience with these people, and being a political operative for a number of years.

1: First and foremost, and this is definitely a huge one, outstate Minnesotans, especially those not in farmland communities, are not terribly religious people. Very few go to church, and even though they either identify as Catholic or Lutheran, they are not devout, and often don't believe at all.

2: The Farmer-Labor Party was generally the second largest party in Minnesota from the Civil War to WWII, behind the Republican Party.  These people were essentially rural  communists (it is no coincidence that the name matches up with the hammer and sickle). A young up and coming mayor of Minneapolis by the name or Hinder Humphrey managed to wrangle the cats well though to negotiate the merger between the Democrats and the Farmer-Labor members. The voting trends of rural and urban voters voting together have stuck ever since.

3: Class warfare is alive and well with these voters. Miners and loggers have been on the short end of the stick pretty much constantly when dealing with out-of-the-region money interests. Given the relatively low prosperty it the region, there is a strong sense of solidarity that goes much further than their USW membership cards.

Hope that explains it a little bit

I am a Tom Rukavina Democrat.

[ Parent ]
Warren not yet endorsing in MA-Sen
http://thehill.com/blogs/ballo...

As if she'd ever consider backing Lynch.

23, MA-07, Rockefeller Republican. Christie-Martinez in 2016. Visit me at http://twitter.com/polibeast

Capuano is a possibility though
though ultimately (unless she doesn't endorse at all) I expect her to fall in line behind Markey.

R, MA-7/MD-7/moving to WV-1
[ Parent ]
Very cute...
https://twitter.com/DKElection...

24, Male, R, NY-10

Christie-Toomey 2016!

Did Joe say?
I was about his age when I entered the Senate?

R, CA-37; hometown: PA-2
[ Parent ]
Congressman Paul Ruiz
http://ruiz.house.gov

R, CA-37; hometown: PA-2
Ayotte Joins Senate GOP Leadership
http://www.rollcall.com/news/a...

R, CA-37; hometown: PA-2
She's a rare GOP Senate bright spot.
Very thoughtful, and should be in office a long time if she wants.
Gotta do something about the quavery voice, though.

R/MA-9; hometown CT-2; lonely MSM conservative.
[ Parent ]
If Susan Collins can thrive with her pipes...
I suspect Ayotte is in just fine shape.  

23, MA-07, Rockefeller Republican. Christie-Martinez in 2016. Visit me at http://twitter.com/polibeast
[ Parent ]
Cochran wins Ag Ranking Member
http://www2.ljworld.com/news/2...

Roberts becomes Rules ranking member

18, Republican, KS-03

Capito, Cassidy, Handel, Roberts and Rounds for 2014 Senate!!

Victory for southern agricultural interests
And means Cochran has a reason to seek reelection.
[ Parent ]
PA-Governor
Corbett's move was pure pandering as a good portion of the Republican primary electorate really thinks Penn State can do no wrong and JoePa was tarnished.

Castor is handling it remarkably.  His statements on the matter appeal to everyone from the rabid Penn State supporters to people like me who think Penn State should just shut up and take its lumps.

27, Republican, PA-6

Bring on Bruce Almighty!
Corbett's an embarrassment. The former AG doesn't know what "collateral estoppel" means? He was on the board that approved the NCAA consent decree!  
[ Parent ]
Well
The case is based on anti-trust law, which the NCAA has a poor record under historically.

This is pure partisan pandering though to a segment of the Republican base that is pissed over the Penn State scandal.  

27, Republican, PA-6

[ Parent ]
And Penn State consented to jurisdiction when it signed the consent decree
Which it never would've have done if the Board of Trustees objected. And who is on the PSU BOT? Uhh, Gov. Corbett....who of course orchestrated the entire Paterno dismissal in the first place  

I bleed Orange; but had the Bernie Fine debacle been all that I'd expect we'd have had to fire Boeheim, skip the NCAA & pay fines. Why is PSU exempt from punishment?

This is an utter hypocritical pandering fail by Corbett trying to wash his hands of his own mess and ducking accountability. JoePA wasn't Jesus Christ, but Tom Corbett makes a good Pontius Pilate.  

[ Parent ]
Anti-Trust
Corbett is not suing personally.  The Commonwealth of Pennsylvania is suing the NCAA.  Usually the Attorney General would be handling the suit, but obviously the Attorney General has a conflict as that office is prosecuting three Penn State administrators at the moment.

Typically anti-trust cases are based on the entity being challenged having some sort of overbearing power over the entity challenging them.  The NCAA does dominate a trade, i.e. college football regulation.  I doubt it works, but there is a lot of anti-NCAA anger out there.

Paterno should have been fired and Corbett did the right thing then by pushing it.  He also did the right thing when he supported the sanctions originally.  Penn State fans just need to get over it.  This suit and the behavior of many Penn State fans proves football is king at the university and should needs to be knocked down a couple pegs.

27, Republican, PA-6

[ Parent ]
Help me out on the law here
The same guy who signed off on a settlement with an enforcement body is now trying to set the deal aside claiming it lacks jurisdiction?

Where I went to law school they teach "collateral estoppel". If you settle a case you waive jurisdictional challenges; if that was your argument you should've filed an injunction first asserting a lack of jurisdiction. Then again I'm not some smarmy politician  

[ Parent ]
A little different
Penn State could not bring the suit itself based on "collateral estoppel."  The Commonwealth of Pennsylvania is bringing suit as an interested party, i.e. partial funder of Penn State, under anti-trust law.  

Based on the news articles I have read on the subject, it seems like there is some provision of federal anti-trust law permitting suits essentially stating the trade organization used its domination of the sector to force its will on the entity.  Again I am not an anti-trust attorney.

27, Republican, PA-6

[ Parent ]
Alter ego
PSU is a publicly funded university with a BOT chaired by the same Governor bringing the suit. I'd dismiss this POS if I were a judge  
[ Parent ]
MN-leg: State Rep. Gottwalt resigns in 14A
https://twitter.com/tomscheck/status/286985588706521092

Gottwalt took a lobbying gig that presented a conflict of interest and is now resigning. Gottwalt was conservative, but he had a pragmatic streak, pushing for the creation of a state-based exchange in the last legislative session.

The district is swingy. Romney won with just 50%, Klobuchar (DFL)  cleaned up with 63%, Graves (DFL) took 54%, State Senator Pederson (R) took 55% and Gottwalt won with 54%.

libertarian Republican, TX-14/MN-04
I called it!
Expect a very contentious and expensive race here.

I am a Tom Rukavina Democrat.
[ Parent ]
SC-1 Article Gets It Right
SC-7 Tom Rice Loves This
Keith Albow for MA-06
Perhaps he'd run if Tisei opts out.

From suburban Chicago's North Shore, now living on suburban Philadelphia's Main Line. Back home until July.
Evening Political Roundup for January 3, 2013 | 26 comments
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