Red Racing Horses
Menu

Make a New Account

Username:

Password:



Forget your username or password?


About

Red Racing Horses analyzes and discusses elections from a Republican-leaning perspective. Thank you for visiting, and we hope you'll enjoy the blog. Please read our site Terms of Use.

~The RRH Moderators: BostonPatriot, Daniel Surman, GoBigRedState, Greyhound, James_Nola, Right Reformer, Ryan_in_SEPA, and Shamlet.

Problems logging into your account? Inside information? Complaints? Compliments? E-Mail us at: redracinghorses@yahoo.com. We check it often!

The Current RRH Race Ratings:

Senate

Governor

House

Row Officers

Q2 Fundraising


Political Roundup for January 18, 2013

by: BostonPatriot

Fri Jan 18, 2013 at 08:00:00 AM EST


A Note of Gratitude

Well, it's hard to believe because it feels like time has flown by, but today is RRH's 2nd birthday! When we started this site just after the 2010 elections, I don't think that any one of us could have imagined that two years later we would have over 5 million hits. Thanks so much for your loyal support--let's look forward to many more great years!

Senate

Guns: Hotline on Call has a great rundown of how each Senator up in 2014 has responded to President Obama's gun control initiative. Notable skeptics: Begich, Pryor, Baucus, Tom Udall, Johnson (given their states, only Udall is remotely surprising). Mary Landrieu was warmer to the plan than I would have expected.

Kentucky: AG Jack Conway and Rep. John Yarmuth are both out, leaving Alison Lundergan Grimes as the last, best hope for Dems in this race. Ashley Judd is apparently interested in running against Rand Paul in 2016.

Maine: Several in the chattering class are declaring Sen. Susan Collins "the safest Republican of the cycle." The only worry she may have is a primary challenger from the right, but the lone candidate in position to do so is Treasurer Bruce Poliquin, who hasn't expressed much interest in the race.

Massachusetts: They can't run Elizabeth Warren again, but they can at least invoke her. Mass Dems are attacking Scott Brown by claiming that returning him to the Senate would "cancel out Elizabeth's votes."

House

HI-01: Nugget of the day: The Manti Te'o scam extended all the way to the House floor, where Rep. Colleen Hanabusa offered her condolences after Te'o's "girlfriend" "died" last fall.

SC-01: The NRCC will not endorse Mark Sanford in the primary, a move certain to raise a few eyebrows. However, Greg Walden says the committee won't be endorsing in any primaries this cycle, and this shouldn't be interpreted as a slight of the Argentine Beau.

Governor

Arkansas: Despite some less-than-flattering revelations, Dustin McDaniel (D) still managed to raise $400K in Q4. Will that be enough to scare away a primary from netroots darling Bill Halter?

Minnesota: St. Sen. Julie Rosen (R) is thinking about a run against Gov. Mark Dayton. Rosen, best known for pushing the bill that kept the Vikings in Minnesota (albeit at a high cost to taxpayers), is from a rural southern district, which is generally a tough place for a Republican to emerge from.

Miscellaneous

NRCC: Walden promised increased minority outreach for the 2014 cycle, and tapped Rep. Jaime Herrera Beutler as Vice Chair for Hispanic outreach. Tom Cole and Markwayne Mullin will be reaching out to Native Americans. Did anyone know Mullin was part Native?

DCCC: Politico reports that there are just 4 Republicans in D+ districts, although we count 6: Gary Miller, Valadao, LoBiondo, Gibson, Coffman, and Ros-Lehtinen. Either way, Dems have an uphill climb to 17, and it doesn't help them that 15 of their incumbents are in R+ seats.

2014-Guns: Sen. Ted Cruz, a vice chair of the NRSC, is predicting that the gun debate will lead to GOP victories in 2014, although it's hard to fathom that gun control will still be in the news in 21 months.

Cook: Charlie Cook's first look at the 2014 Senate map is up. His predictions are generally small-c conservative, with South Dakota and West Virginia (both Dem-held) as the only tossups. No Republican-held seat is worse than Likely R.

Cabinet: Obama won't be plucking his Chief of Staff from the House and triggering a special election this time. Denis McDonough, most recently Deputy National Security Advisor, will take over the position once held by Rahm.

NY St. Senate: The race in SD-46 may finally be approaching conclusion; the final 91 ballots will be counted today and George Amedore (R) needs to win about 30% of them for his 35-vote lead to hold up. The outcome isn't particularly important--either way, the GOP-IDC coalition will "control" the Senate.

BostonPatriot :: Political Roundup for January 18, 2013
Tags: (All Tags)
Print Friendly View Send As Email

NY-SD-46
It's important in terms of 2014.
Even if Amedore wins, Skelos will keep the coalition. He'll use his 32 votes to win on legislation.  

25, Male, R, NY-10

It matters in terms of relative influence
Without Amedore, the power-sharing is going to have to be basically 50-50 between Skelos and Klein. With Amedore it's going to be more a 90-10 arrangement.

R - MD-7

[ Parent ]
But they aren't changing the terms of the coalition
It's all about going from 50-50 power on legislation to 80-20 though. Helps for 2014 even if he'll keep the coalition. The Saland seat is a gimme, but the GOP can lose another seat.

25, Male, R, NY-10

[ Parent ]
That's what I mean
If Amedore wins, Klein is de facto more like a high-level adviser to Skelos with a fancy title than a real "fourth man in the room" in terms of legislative influence.

R - MD-7

[ Parent ]
What if it ends in a tie
[ Parent ]
Just started counting
Stand by...

25, Male, R, NY-10

[ Parent ]
It's over
First 30 ballots, Tkaczyk gained 27, Amedore 1, and two were blank. Amedore's lead is pared to 9 votes

25, Male, R, NY-10

[ Parent ]
I guess
Election workers picked by local bosses. All Ds.

25, Male, R, NY-10

[ Parent ]
This is a strange situation
Has there ever been someone sat and sworn in before the ballots were counted, and it turns out they had lost? I have never heard of such a thin befire

I am a Tom Rukavina Democrat.

[ Parent ]
Happened a lot in the 19th Century
nt

R - MD-7

[ Parent ]
He wasn't sworn in


25, Male, R, NY-10

[ Parent ]
Oh, I didn't know that
Is his seat simply vacant for now?

I am a Tom Rukavina Democrat.

[ Parent ]
Oh, I didn't know that
Is his seat simply vacant for now?

I am a Tom Rukavina Democrat.

[ Parent ]
Over
Tkaczyk wins the race by 19.
Won the ballots 69/15.

25, Male, R, NY-10

[ Parent ]
Democratic divisions
http://www.politico.com/story/...

Obviously talking about Republican divisions is boring the Politico.  I do think this is a serious problem the Democrats will have to deal with and is an opening for the Republicans.

28, Republican, PA-6


Guns don't have to be in the news
Gun owners have long memories, especially if the NRA gets involved. Obama was the benefit of McCain and Romney who had lukewarm support at best with the issue not being pushed. The NRA also has a working relationship with Reid (a gun moderate in a pro-2a state) because they don't want Schumer (in an anti-2a state) as majority or minority leader.

Back in 99 or early 2000, when the complete virtual ban on gun shows (3 day waiting period) failed, Pat Kennedy gleefully chanted "5 seats" thinking this would be a shoe-in issue. Gore and Bradley campaigned on full out registration.

Gore lost and Concealed carry became more popular long term making this issue even more of an election loser.


MI-08 - Chairman - Livingston County Republican Party Since 2013 - Opinions are my own and not that of LCRP.  


PA-Gov: Corbett to push liqour privatization
http://www.philly.com/philly/n...

This is a big issue on the right flank.

28, Republican, PA-6


About time.
Since he, you know, campaigned on this in 2012.  

male, social, fiscal and foreign policy center-right Republican, in but not of academia, VA-08.

[ Parent ]
*campaigned on this in 2010.
N/T

male, social, fiscal and foreign policy center-right Republican, in but not of academia, VA-08.

[ Parent ]
Wow! I didn't even know PA had state run liquor stores
I thought those were only in uber dry states like Utah, where that was like the only place you could by liquor in the state.

[ Parent ]
Well
Pennsylvania has a strong anti-alcohol streak to this day, but it was stronger back when the law was enacted.

28, Republican, PA-6

[ Parent ]
D+ districts
If I'm guessing, Ros-Lehtinen isn't in a D+ district if we count 2008 and 2012.  LoBiondo was in an even district in 2008. There is no definitive 2012 number. That said, we do know 5 of the 8 counties in his district. Obama leads 55.3%-44.9% in those. Of the remaining 3, Burlington had few votes, while the portions of Ocean and Gloucester in the district likely favor Romney. I'm guessing it's 53.5%-45.6%. That's D+2 and makes it D+1 overall.  

R, CA-37; hometown: PA-2

Districts by PVI
RRH user WMayes has an excellent spreadsheet that goes district by district for 2008 and 2012 and uses DKE numbers. It also calculates PVI. Ros Lehtinen's in an R+2 seat. Y'all should bookmark this, it's great

https://docs.google.com/spread...


[ Parent ]
Jeeze
The Miami districts moved so far left over the decade...

[ Parent ]
Or you could use my spreadsheets
https://docs.google.com/spread...

https://docs.google.com/spread...

They aren't as pretty but they're far more complete, since they cover all 435 districts.  

R, CA-37; hometown: PA-2


[ Parent ]
NJ-Gov/State House
Kean mapping a plan to capitalize on Christie Coattails

http://www.politickernj.com/62...


Will Christie help?
I am not sure Christie is going to spend much time trying to win a Senate majority.

28, Republican, PA-6

[ Parent ]
Well he might not be able to stop helping
Just him being on the ballot will help, so unless he stops campaigning for himself, he will help boost R turnout.

[ Parent ]
Christie did in 2011
He made an all out effort to help the GOP re-take the legislature then. Cant see why he wouldnt do the same now.  

[ Parent ]
2011
And respectfully, they actually lost a seat in 2011. The hardest problem with 2011 & 2013 is the new legislative map. The Dem districts were all shored up. 1 Dem senator is still in a GOP district (Whelen) but there's also 1 GOP senator in a Dem district (Allen). It's my opinion that both of them are safe until they retire.

Is it possible for Christie to flip some seats this cycle? Of course. Would I be interested in putting any money on it? Def not.

34, Libertarian leaning D, living in PA-7
Originally from PA-4 (the old PA-17)


[ Parent ]
Norcross backs Buono over Codey
[ Parent ]
Jindal's income tax plan and why all R states should join
This article from Forbes gives incredible economic data on why states should eliminate their state income tax like Jindal is proposing. He wants the 25 states with an R governor and legislature to slowly phase it out. This would be a great way to convince voters of the economic benefits low taxation has on their overall state's growth.

http://www.forbes.com/sites/pe...

27, IL-7, Fiscal Conservative


Virginia
This would be a great time to do this hear in VA, let's McDonnell share spotlight with Jindal as well as setting the tone/debate for the fall campaign (anyting to help Cooch focus on actual state issues would be much appreciated), ad to that the same house majority going into fall and you won't have a better chance for tax reform here...

Marco Rubio 2016, please

[ Parent ]
MA-GOV Murray Out
http://politicalwire.com/archi...

Does this mean Coakley is running?

33/M/D/NY-01 DKE:Socks The Cat


No
It means that Murray realizes how damaged he is.

R - MD-7

[ Parent ]
Plenty of eyebrows raised about this on Beacon Hill
The general sentiment seems to be both Coakley and Grossman will run, with the former having a modest edge, but I think most were thinking Murray would play.

I'd absolutely rather see Coakley emerge the nominee. Grossman seems to be about as generic D as it gets, which is probably enough to top Brown. Coakley the Campaigner is like watching a clown slip on bananas and trip face first into cream pies.

24, MA-07, Rockefeller Republican. Visit me at http://twitter.com/polibeast


[ Parent ]
Alaska GOP: Millette's future is still unclear
Alaska is the ground zero for Tea Party-Establishment wrangling. Incoming Chairman Russ Millette is a purported Paulite (he didn't endorse him in 2012 so as to appear impartial; however, given his ties to Paul's backers in the state, it's likely he voted for him). Outgoing Chairman Randy Ruedrich wants Millette unseated. He believes Millette will abuse his power by funneling a bulk of the party's resources to the Paulites. Last night, party members convened in order to vote on Millette's fate. However, after hours of squabbling, they decided to reschedule the vote for February 1st.

This race and the messy internal politics in AK can affect upcoming election cycles. If Millette retains his seat, will he give his blessing to Miller in a Senate Primary? Will he endorse Rand Paul's presidential candidacy? Republicans outside the state have a stake in this intra party battle.  

Ryan/Kasich 2016


Breaking News: AR LG Darr running for senate
http://nationaljournal.com/blo...

29/Male/Married/Father of One/Republican/CA-3

kudos
I dont live in Arkansas but kudos to him for running.  Pryor is gonna be tough guy to beat but we need too in order take back Senate and stop Obama.

[ Parent ]
Well, f***
I guess Tom Cotton's locked into the House for the foreseeable future, robbing the GOP of quite the rising star in the Senate. I guess Cruz is the Senate's rising star and Cotton is the House's for now.

[ Parent ]
if he wanted to run for Senate
Then he shouldn't have run for the House with the plan to leave immediately.  I know people bring up Berg, but the situation was different. It wasn't an Open seat until after he campaigned, won, and was seated. (It was exactly 2 years ago today that Conrad announced his retirement.)  This obviously changed Berg's calculus.  He didn't win the House seat with the intention of running for Senate as soon as he was elected.
No such "quick change" has occurred in the AR-Sen race; it was going to be against Pryor and is still against Pryor.  If Cotton wanted to run for Senate, he should have run for Senate.  

[ Parent ]
I think
We need to bring back the Mia Love (before she announced)  rule (remember it?).

Your obsession with Cotton is just like aas34's and others obsession with minority candidates.  

25, Male, R, NY-10


[ Parent ]
Have to agree
I like Tom Cotton and think he has a bright future, but the constant promoting of him gets a little tiring.

42, R, NE-1.

[ Parent ]
Very tiring
I get tired of candidate promoting here.  Maybe I am a cynic, but I have a hard time promoting most politicans in general.

28, Republican, PA-6

[ Parent ]
Yes
A little candidate promotion comes with the territory, as there is a large scale of candidate quality and some people are near the top - but when it gets to meme level (as this has) it's time to stop.

R - MD-7

[ Parent ]
Cotton/*sigh*
Tom Cotton's experiences:
Harvard BA/JD
Federal Court clerk
Corporate lawyer
Captain in the US Army
McKinsey & Co management consultant
US Congressman
Qualifications:
Good speaker, very well spoken in interviews

There's reason to be excited about Cotton, Moshe.


[ Parent ]
Cotton is great, but you're rushing him a bit.
His credentials right now look a lot like Josh Mandel. Give him some time to build up a reputation for being effective and to build his name recognition; he's got loads of time.  

male, social, fiscal and foreign policy center-right Republican, in but not of academia, VA-08.

[ Parent ]
Yep
I'm thinking 2022 is about the right time for him for a Governor or Senate run.

R - MD-7

[ Parent ]
So
Yes he has a great resume, but rarely do great leaders office hop so much.

28, Republican, PA-6

[ Parent ]
I don't disagree
You just don't have to mention him for breakfast, lunch and dinner. He's just a few days in Congress.  

25, Male, R, NY-10

[ Parent ]
Agree
Give him a few terms to find his place in the House.

I am very skeptical of anyone who jumps from office to office.

28, Republican, PA-6


[ Parent ]
Great resume
But I still don't know why, if he wanted to run for Senate, he didn't just run for Senate with that resume.  Why did he run for a House seat?  With Berg, we have an answer:  The seat wasn't Open when he ran for the House.  With Cotton, we don't have an answer.  Nothing has changed.

[ Parent ]
Getting name rec and campaign experience
except in very rare cases the Senate is not attainable as an entry-level office; fundraising, learning campaign skills, and getting name rec all at the same time in a marquee race is not an easy task.

R - MD-7

[ Parent ]
true
It happens more than you think.  Seems like every year there's one or two.  Franken, Ron Johnson, Warren, etc.  My point is that if he was planning on running for Senate in 2014, then a few weeks as a House member isn't going to add much, and could be seen as a negative.  If he's planning on running in 202X, then he's fine.  

[ Parent ]
Cotton for Senate
Tom Cotton was supposedly planning to run in 2012 before John Boozman announced. Considering that about half of the registered Rs in the state--and AR has closed primaries--live in NW AR, it's nearly impossible for someone from the rest of the state to defeat a candidate with strong support in the northwestern portion of the state. The will to be a Senator was there, but I'm sure Cotton figured that he'd be best off running for a House seat and hoping no one from the northwest would declare. Darr is from Springdale, ruining Cotton's chances. I just hope Boozman pulls a Jim Webb (or retires in 2022, which would also be acceptable).

[ Parent ]
It's just as well for him in the long-term, IMO.
Cotton is in his thirties; he doesn't need a rapid promotion.  

male, social, fiscal and foreign policy center-right Republican, in but not of academia, VA-08.

[ Parent ]
Dems and their moderates
http://www.politico.com/blogs/...

Jim Cooper has, once again, run afoul of progressives. They may primary him. The district has been a consistent D+5 in the last few elections. Usually Blue Dog districts vote more Republican. So I don't know our prospects of winning the seat if a progressive wins a primary.

As an example, PA-17 was D+3. A liberal won the primary and won the general by 20 points.  

R, CA-37; hometown: PA-2


We probably don't have much of a chance
TN-5 is probably out of reach, and unlike some other D+5s it has a secure enough base of Democrats to where we probably can't snipe it out from under them against a progressive warrior.

Cooper's not even a good fit for that district, which is essentially Liberal Nashville.  It just goes to show how cautious the TNGOP was in redistricting that they didn't even try to drop it down to Even or so despite it being rather easy to do so.

23, Libertarian Republican CA-18

Liberals dream things that never were and ask why not.  Conservatives shout back "Because it won't work"


[ Parent ]
PA-17
From what I remember, the GOP candidate was a very poor one. I think she was seen as being too conservative for the district and she raised a very scant amount of money.

[ Parent ]
PA-17
To be fair (and honest) this district is no longer D+3. The district was radically changed and Dem packed. Scranton, WIlkes-Barre, and Easton were all added. The guy who won the Dem primary (now Congressman Cartwright) would have never done so with the former boundaries. The GOP candidate was a nice, local Tea Party activist who tried her best, but didn't know what she was getting herself into.

This district still could be won by a Republican now, but it would have to be a moderate, pro-union type guy. Someone like Charlie Dent.

34, Libertarian leaning D, living in PA-7
Originally from PA-4 (the old PA-17)


[ Parent ]
You're right
I went back to my spreadsheet and realized I was missing Luzerne County. I found precinct results and recalculated it. PA-17 is D+4.2

R, CA-37; hometown: PA-2

[ Parent ]
Agree
The Republicans can win PA-17, but we have to have a rockstar caliber candidate.

28, Republican, PA-6

[ Parent ]
TN-05
Dickson County is somewhat of a conservaDem seat, but TN-05 is by no means a Blue Dog seat.

[ Parent ]
Yeah
TN-5 and NC-4 are the least "southern" districts that are in the South.  To win TN-5 we'd need to flip suburban middle-class professionals rather than rural blue dogs.

23, Libertarian Republican CA-18

Liberals dream things that never were and ask why not.  Conservatives shout back "Because it won't work"


[ Parent ]
agreed
In addition, we need Republicans to move into the exurban parts of TN-5 from TN-7 & TN-8 and for Democrats to move out of Davidson and into some other district.

42 Male Republican, Maryland Heights, MO (MO-2). Previously lived in both Memphis and Nashville.

[ Parent ]
Actually
The easiest way to do it would be to legalize non-contiguous districts and draw a map that trades Downtown Nashville to the 9th in exchange for East Memphis.

The second easiest (and more realistic) way would be to let Cooper lose a primary against a "Progressive Warrior" and then just redistrict him/her out in 2021.  Cooper's Blue-dog appeal is probably the reason for the TNGOP's caution (it'd still be stupid since they wouldn't lose anymore than that seat regardless.  This isn't SEPA).

23, Libertarian Republican CA-18

Liberals dream things that never were and ask why not.  Conservatives shout back "Because it won't work"


[ Parent ]
the district is pretty blue so it makes sense why there
is talk of a primary challenge.

To put it on the other way of things it would be like a Republican in R+5 district voting against the Ryan plan or voting for ACA.


[ Parent ]
Ryan Budget
Several Republicans in R+5 districts voted against the Ryan Budget.  None of them lost a primary.

28, Republican, PA-6

[ Parent ]
Well then I stand corrected
what I think really hurts Cooper is that none other blue dogs was there to give him cover on this vote.

[ Parent ]
Agree
His saving grace is that probably few in that district care about this bill.  

28, Republican, PA-6

[ Parent ]
Cooper sorta reminds me of what Wayne Gilchrest
was to Republicans. He had very liberal voting record for a district that was still decently Republican (Hence why the R's were able to defeat him in a primary).Of course the 2008 election may not have been the best year to primary him, as they narrowly lost the general. But the 2010 brought the district back to its R leaning roots.

Similarly if Cooper is defeated in the primary and the R's manage an upset in the district, it will be a tough to hold on to it.


[ Parent ]
ME-Sen: Collins safe from left and right
Primary I agree
And probably the general, but I disagree she is unlikely to face a serious foe. All accounts are Chellie Pingree wants out of the house so her daughter can succeed her, and the obvious choice for her is a suicide run at Collins.

27 NH-01/London/MA-07

Centrist Foreign Policy Realist - Tory in the UK, RINO locally


[ Parent ]
SC-1, Sanford
What impact do these comments about being a "wounded warrior" have on Sanford's bid to get elected again to Congress? They seem to be a double whammy of being detrimental for him with both social and national security conservatives.http://www.politico.com/story/2013/01/mark-sanford-im-a-wounded-warrior-86385.html?hp=l2

Helping Barrow get reelected
Maybe they thought a liberal would primary Barrow
If the liberal wins, it will become a likely R seat. Is state Sen. Jesse Stone our best potential candidate here?  

[ Parent ]
Ray Nagin indicted
http://www.usatoday.com/story/...

I realize that in Louisiana being indicted is the default position.

R, CA-37; hometown: PA-2


Italian elections 2013: centre-right coalition regaining ground
Just a month ago here in Italy we were doomed...the Left candidate Pierluigi Bersani ( a former communist ) was easily ahead in every poll by 15-20 points...

Centre-right coalition was fractured and demoralized...Silvio Berlusconi was retiring...then...suddenly Silvio changed his mind and decided to run again...

2 weeks ago a Berlusconi internal poll ( Euromedia Research group ) had Bersani ahead "only" by 7 points...of course everyone was saying it was a biased poll...

1 week ago another Euromedia Research poll had Silvio behind by 4.5 points...

Today we have two independent polls: left leaning pollster ( a sort of PPP ) SWG has Bersani ahead by 6! and right leaning pollster spin-con has Silvio behind only by 2 points!!!

Now centre-left is still favored but at the age of 76 Berlusconi is running a strong campaign and right now centre-right coalition is back in the game!!! We have the momentum...we can win!  



38, male, Roma ( Italia ), conservative


Silvio Berlusconi
When Silvio Berlusconi is the best option, that shows your nation has a very bad talent pool of candidates.

28, Republican, PA-6

[ Parent ]
yes I agree...we have no benchmark...
but we have sky high taxes ( 55%-60% )...small business is dying...Berlusconi isnt perfect but he is the only can help the economy...he is the only fiscal conservative...politically Silvio is like a Mitt Romney with the character of Carl Paladino ( of course Paladino is italian himself eheheh )

38, male, Roma ( Italia ), conservative

[ Parent ]
The sum of polling disagrees
http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/O...

Unless I'm misreading this table, the average lead for the center left coalition is more like 10-15 points and not on any trajectory.

(-9.38, -7.49), libertarian socialist, KY 01, "When smashing monuments, save the pedestals. They always come in handy."


-- Stanisław Lem


[ Parent ]
In Italy It's not like RCP or pollster.com...dont read wiki...
polls in Italy are a mess...for this reason is better to go with latest Euromedia Research ( Berlusconi internal but very reliable ) and SWG ( a left leaning pollster...usually they overstimate the left by 3-4 points )...

38, male, Roma ( Italia ), conservative

[ Parent ]
Most of these polls
have been commissioned by nonpartisan news outlets, so there's no reason to suspect bias, as, say, in an internal poll (hint, hint.)

Speaking of US polls however, I see Ipsos in this table with a poll from earlier this week, having the center-left up 14 points on the right.

(-9.38, -7.49), libertarian socialist, KY 01, "When smashing monuments, save the pedestals. They always come in handy."


-- Stanisław Lem


[ Parent ]
it's not like in us...in italy polls can be off by 15-20
latest SWG ( left leaning pollster ) has the left up by 6...

38, male, Roma ( Italia ), conservative

[ Parent ]
I thought Berlusconi is no longer the PM candidate of the
center-right? A Lega Nord member revealed that part of the discussions between PdL and LN is that Berlusconi would no longer stand as PM candidate.  

[ Parent ]
Yes right but he is the coalition leader...and his name will be on the ballot
Of course in Italy politics is always weird...Berlusconi is on the ballot and he is running the campaign...everyone was saying he was finished...included myself...and still he is running the best campaign I ever seen...he is talking about fiscal conservatism...not easy here in Italy...


38, male, Roma ( Italia ), conservative

[ Parent ]
Registering 15 year olds to vote
http://blogs.sacbee.com/capito...

We were waiting for the next way Democrats could get a leg up and they've found it. They're going to start registering 15 year olds to vote when they get a learner's permit. Having millions of people in the voter database who aren't eligible to vote can lead to all sorts of shenanigans. Don't believe me?

When canvassing neighborhoods last fall I found a 16 year old who was mistakenly registered to vote. She was quite embarrassed about it and her mother had no idea how it happened. She didn't plan to vote, but she certainly could've gone to the polls and cast a vote. Yes, it would've been illegal but the poll workers wouldn't have stopped her.

Of course there's also the issue that in three years the 15 year old could be living somewhere other than his or her current address.

I'm fine on making it easy for a person to vote, but they should have to put in some effort.  

R, CA-37; hometown: PA-2


Elizabeth Colbert-Busch for Dem in SC-1
http://www.washingtonpost.com/...

Stephen's sister

R, CA-37; hometown: PA-2


Other than half of her last name
Nobody seems to have heard of her in the Charleston area. Another Democrat, unknown businessman Martin Skelley, announced today and is putting in $250k of his own money. Scott's 2010 D opponent, Bobbie Rose, is also running. She may start as the D favorite from her run last year. Don't know how to rate the Colbert lady, I guess they are hoping on Sanford as the R nominee and a light special election turnout.

SC1-Charleston

[ Parent ]
Bobbie Rose= 2012 opponent
nt

SC1-Charleston

[ Parent ]
Good
USA Today dumps Gallup.
There have to be consequences.

I guess Pew is the best of the comprehensive pollsters.  

25, Male, R, NY-10


I wonder who they hire?
Maybe SUSA?

33/M/D/NY-01 DKE:Socks The Cat

[ Parent ]
Not a fit
SUSA does five question local surveys for TV stations and newspapers. USA Today does longer national surveys.

R, CA-37; hometown: PA-2

[ Parent ]
Well
Not sure who they could partner with.  No Gallup, No Rasmussen leaves, Pew maybe?  

33/M/D/NY-01 DKE:Socks The Cat

[ Parent ]
Search




Advanced Search


(C) RedRacingHorses
Powered by: SoapBlox